Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Sep 22, 7:38 PM ET

LMT max pain

Spot (delayed)$522.55
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$530+1.4% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$59.65±11.4% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI1.046K puts / 6K calls
Call wall$600largest call OI
Put wall$440largest put OI
IV3030.5%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$172Kper 1% move
Earnings · expectedTue, Oct 20usually before the open

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Sep 25$537.5+2.9%3d
Fri, Oct 2$545+4.3%10d
Fri, Oct 9$540+3.3%17d
Fri, Oct 16$540+3.3%24d
Fri, Oct 23$535+2.4%31d← 1st expiry after earnings (Tue, Oct 20)
Fri, Oct 30$535+2.4%38d
Fri, Nov 20$535+2.4%59d
Fri, Dec 18$530+1.4%87d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot530220372524676828980$216M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 530 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot530220400500560625740677677
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)LMT open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot530220400500560625740129129
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot22037252467682898073%24%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 29.1% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot290420515570635800+$600K$600K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.82-0.114700.00370.66-0.12-0.20
0.77-0.134800.00420.76-0.13-0.24
0.73-0.144900.00470.84-0.14-0.29
0.68-0.155000.00510.91-0.15-0.34
0.62-0.165100.00540.96-0.16-0.40
0.59-0.165150.00550.98-0.16-0.42
0.57-0.165200.00560.99-0.16-0.45
0.54-0.175250.00561.00-0.16-0.48
0.51-0.175300.00561.01-0.16-0.51
0.48-0.175350.00561.01-0.16-0.53
0.46-0.165400.00561.00-0.16-0.56
0.40-0.165500.00550.98-0.16-0.61
0.38-0.165550.00540.96-0.15-0.64
0.35-0.155600.00520.94-0.15-0.66
0.33-0.155650.00510.92-0.14-0.69

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 60 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot400522.5547.55806306853310
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot2204005055706408004K4K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 43K call contracts, 34K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: LMT workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk