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Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Jul 29, 12:57 AM ET

MSFT max pain

Spot (delayed)$395.01
Max pain · Fri, Jul 31$385-2.5% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$28.38±7.2% by Fri, Jul 31
Put/Call OI0.3961K puts / 155K calls
Call wall$430largest call OI
Put wall$350largest put OI
IV3043.5%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$108.7Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $400
Earnings · expectedWed, Jul 29usually after the close

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Jul 31$385-2.5%2d← 1st expiry after earnings (Wed, Jul 29)
Mon, Aug 3$390-1.3%5d
Wed, Aug 5$385-2.5%7d
Fri, Aug 7$385-2.5%9d
Mon, Aug 10$390-1.3%12d
Fri, Aug 14$395-0.0%16d
Fri, Aug 21$390-1.3%23d
Fri, Aug 28$390-1.3%30d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot385270332394456518580$2.3B$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 385 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Jul 31

spot385270335380405432.547015K15K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MSFT open contracts per strike for Fri, Jul 31.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Jul 31

spot385270335380405432.54708K8K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Jul 31

spot270332394456518580171%83%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 99.1% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Jul 31

spotflip 400270335380405432.5470+$17.1M$17.1M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Jul 31

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.69-2.21377.50.00980.13-2.22-0.31
0.67-2.313800.01020.13-2.32-0.33
0.64-2.39382.50.01050.13-2.40-0.36
0.61-2.463850.01070.14-2.47-0.39
0.59-2.52387.50.01090.14-2.52-0.41
0.56-2.553900.01110.14-2.56-0.44
0.53-2.57392.50.01120.14-2.58-0.47
0.50-2.583950.01120.14-2.59-0.50
0.47-2.57397.50.01120.14-2.58-0.53
0.45-2.544000.01110.14-2.55-0.55
0.42-2.50402.50.01100.14-2.51-0.58
0.39-2.454050.01080.14-2.46-0.61
0.37-2.38407.50.01060.14-2.39-0.63
0.34-2.304100.01040.13-2.31-0.66
0.29-2.124150.00970.12-2.13-0.71

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 60 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot27034038041545049016K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

Max pain history

History starts accruing now: first snapshot taken 2026-07-28. We chart only days we actually observed — check back as the record builds. The measured hit-rate across all tickers lives on the accuracy ledger.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot195325390455520620260K260K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 2.8M call contracts, 1.3M put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MSFT workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk