Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Sep 22, 7:38 PM ET

LMT max pain

Spot (delayed)$522.55
Max pain · Fri, Nov 20$535+2.4% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$51.1±9.8% by Fri, Nov 20
Put/Call OI0.693K puts / 5K calls
Call wall$700largest call OI
Put wall$500largest put OI
IV3030.5%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$705Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $625
Earnings · expectedTue, Oct 20usually before the open

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Sep 25$537.5+2.9%3d
Fri, Oct 2$545+4.3%10d
Fri, Oct 9$540+3.3%17d
Fri, Oct 16$540+3.3%24d
Fri, Oct 23$535+2.4%31d← 1st expiry after earnings (Tue, Oct 20)
Fri, Oct 30$535+2.4%38d
Fri, Nov 20$535+2.4%59d
Fri, Dec 18$530+1.4%87d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot535270376482588694800$81M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 535 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot5352704405055556056651K1K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)LMT open contracts per strike for Fri, Nov 20.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot5352704405055556056655757
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot27037648258869480090%22%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 30.3% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spotflip 625270440505555605665+$393K$393K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Nov 20

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.74-0.174900.00510.68-0.17-0.26
0.72-0.174950.00540.71-0.18-0.29
0.69-0.185000.00560.74-0.19-0.32
0.66-0.195050.00580.77-0.20-0.35
0.63-0.205100.00600.80-0.20-0.38
0.60-0.205150.00620.81-0.21-0.41
0.57-0.205200.00630.83-0.21-0.44
0.54-0.215250.00640.84-0.21-0.47
0.50-0.215300.00640.84-0.21-0.51
0.47-0.215350.00640.84-0.21-0.54
0.44-0.205400.00640.83-0.21-0.57
0.41-0.205450.00630.82-0.21-0.60
0.38-0.205500.00620.80-0.20-0.64
0.35-0.195550.00600.78-0.20-0.67
0.32-0.185600.00580.76-0.19-0.70

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 60 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot400522.5547.55806306853310
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot2204005055706408004K4K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 43K call contracts, 34K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: LMT workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk