Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 6, 3:49 PM ET

LMT max pain

Spot (delayed)$580.35
Max pain · Fri, Nov 20$525-9.5% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$71.1±12.3% by Fri, Nov 20
Put/Call OI0.812K puts / 2K calls
Call wall$600largest call OI
Put wall$500largest put OI
IV3026.1%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$1.7Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $560

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Aug 7 · CPI release Wed, Aug 12 · Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 7$565-2.6%1d
Fri, Aug 14$560-3.5%8d
Fri, Aug 21$540-7.0%15d
Fri, Aug 28$540-7.0%22d
Fri, Sep 4$580-0.1%29d
Fri, Sep 11$585+0.8%36d
Fri, Sep 18$545-6.1%43d
Fri, Nov 20$525-9.5%106d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot525270363456549642735$34M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 525 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot525270400470525575625330330
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)LMT open contracts per strike for Fri, Nov 20.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot52527040047052557562555
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot27036345654964273583%17%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 28.4% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spotflip 560270400470525575625+$475K$475K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Nov 20

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.71-0.135450.00381.08-0.15-0.30
0.69-0.145500.00401.11-0.15-0.32
0.67-0.145550.00411.14-0.16-0.35
0.64-0.155600.00421.17-0.16-0.37
0.62-0.155650.00421.19-0.16-0.39
0.60-0.155700.00431.21-0.16-0.41
0.58-0.165750.00441.22-0.17-0.44
0.56-0.165800.00441.23-0.17-0.46
0.54-0.165850.00441.24-0.17-0.48
0.51-0.165900.00451.24-0.17-0.51
0.49-0.165950.00441.24-0.17-0.53
0.47-0.166000.00441.24-0.17-0.55
0.45-0.166050.00441.23-0.17-0.57
0.43-0.166100.00441.23-0.17-0.59
0.41-0.166150.00431.21-0.17-0.62

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 60 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot315435510562.5612.56859120
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot2203904755406157005K5K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 54K call contracts, 55K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: LMT workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk