Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Nov 8, 6:20 PM ET

TGT max pain

Spot (delayed)$158.49
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EVIDENCE — filed/published fact
SourceCboe delayed quote, underlying price
Fieldcurrent_price
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 8, 6:20 PM ET
HowAbout 15 minutes delayed.
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Max pain · Fri, Jan 15Not shownone strike decides it
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$21.55
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INFERENCE — derived by arithmetic
SourceAt-the-money straddle midpoint
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 8, 6:20 PM ET
HowCall midpoint plus put midpoint at the strike nearest spot for the 2027-01-15 expiration = 21.55 USD, 13.6% of 158.49 spot.
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±13.6% by Fri, Jan 15
Put/Call OI0.74
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INFERENCE — derived by arithmetic
SourcePut open interest divided by call open interest
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 8, 6:20 PM ET
How57,007 put contracts / 77,233 call contracts = 0.74 for the 2027-01-15 expiration. Open interest is published once a day, before the open, so it describes the previous session.
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57K puts / 77K calls
Call wall$80
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INFERENCE — derived by arithmetic
SourceStrike with the most call open interest
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 8, 6:20 PM ET
How80.00 for the 2027-01-15 expiration. Open interest is published once a day, before the open, so it describes the previous session.
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largest call OI
Put wall$95
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INFERENCE — derived by arithmetic
SourceStrike with the most put open interest
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 8, 6:20 PM ET
How95.00 for the 2027-01-15 expiration. Open interest is published once a day, before the open, so it describes the previous session.
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largest put OI
IV3048.0%
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EVIDENCE — filed/published fact
SourceCboe 30-day implied volatility for the underlying
Fieldiv30
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 8, 6:20 PM ET
HowAs Cboe publishes it; not computed by us.
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30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$7.0M
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INFERENCE — derived by arithmetic
SourceNet gamma exposure from Cboe greeks and open interest
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 8, 6:20 PM ET
HowOver every strike with open interest for the 2027-01-15 expiration: (call gamma × call OI minus put gamma × put OI) × 100 × spot² × 1%, summed. Calls count as positive and puts as negative, a convention about who holds the other side, not a measurement.
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per 1% move · flip ≈ $140
Earnings · expectedWed, Nov 18
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INFERENCE — derived by arithmetic
SourceProjected from the company's own 8-K filing cadence
As ofwindow as stored 2026-11-08
HowReport date 2026-11-18. An estimate from the year-over-year reporting pattern, not a confirmed date.
usually before the open

Max pain is not shown: without its single heaviest strike it moves 6.3% of spot, more than the 5% we allow, so one strike decides it. Walls and gamma still print.

Event risk before this expiration: CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 13$152.5-3.8%5d
Fri, Nov 20$152.5-3.8%12d← 1st expiry after earnings (Wed, Nov 18)
Fri, Nov 27$145-8.5%19d
Fri, Dec 4$150-5.4%26d
Fri, Dec 11$150-5.4%33d
Fri, Dec 18$120-24.3%40d
Fri, Jan 15one strike decides68d
Fri, Mar 19$140-11.7%131d
Fri, Apr 16$160+1.0%159d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

Max pain is not shown: without its single heaviest strike it moves 6.3% of spot, more than the 5% we allow, so one strike decides it. Walls and gamma still print.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot457510513516519510K10K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)TGT open contracts per strike for Fri, Jan 15.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot5090120145170230191191
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot4584123162201240105%37%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 38.8% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spotflip 1405080110140170200+$1.1M−$1.1M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Jan 15

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.91-0.031250.00540.11-0.03-0.09
0.88-0.041300.00700.14-0.04-0.12
0.83-0.051350.00870.17-0.05-0.17
0.78-0.061400.01040.20-0.06-0.22
0.72-0.071450.01210.23-0.07-0.28
0.66-0.071500.01340.25-0.07-0.35
0.59-0.071550.01440.27-0.08-0.42
0.51-0.081600.01490.28-0.08-0.49
0.44-0.071650.01480.27-0.08-0.57
0.37-0.071700.01430.26-0.07-0.64
0.31-0.071750.01340.24-0.07-0.71
0.25-0.061800.01210.22-0.06-0.77
0.20-0.051850.01070.19-0.06-0.82
0.15-0.041900.00920.17-0.05-0.87
0.12-0.041950.00770.14-0.04-0.91

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 36 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot60110143150167.519010K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot4510013614717021014K14K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 197K call contracts, 184K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Max pain, walls and gamma print only when an expiration holds at least 100 open contracts across 5 strikes, and max pain also needs to stay within 5% of spot when its single heaviest strike is removed. Below that the expiration reads as thin rather than printing a level one trade could move.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: TGT workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk