Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Sep 21, 11:24 PM ET

TGT max pain

Spot (delayed)$157.71
Max pain · Fri, Sep 25$157.5-0.1% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$4.02±2.6% by Fri, Sep 25
Put/Call OI0.964K puts / 4K calls
Call wall$162.5largest call OI
Put wall$157.5largest put OI
IV3029.0%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$561Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $130
Earnings · expectedWed, Nov 18usually before the open

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Sep 25$157.5-0.1%4d
Fri, Oct 2$157.5-0.1%11d
Fri, Oct 9$160+1.5%18d
Fri, Oct 16$145-8.1%25d
Fri, Oct 23$147-6.8%32d
Fri, Oct 30$152.5-3.3%39d
Fri, Nov 20$145-8.1%60d← 1st expiry after earnings (Wed, Nov 18)
Fri, Dec 18$110-30.3%88d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot157.57599123147171195$30M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 157.5 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Sep 25

spot157.575134141148162.51801K1K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)TGT open contracts per strike for Fri, Sep 25.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Sep 25

spot157.575134141148162.5180534534
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Sep 25

spot120135150165180195121%27%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 30.3% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Sep 25

spotflip 130100136143150167.5185+$1.5M$1.5M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Sep 25

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.97-0.041460.00910.01-0.04-0.03
0.97-0.041470.01140.01-0.04-0.03
0.96-0.051480.01460.01-0.05-0.04
0.95-0.061490.01880.02-0.07-0.05
0.93-0.081500.02430.02-0.08-0.07
0.85-0.15152.50.04350.04-0.15-0.15
0.72-0.231550.06520.06-0.23-0.28
0.54-0.27157.50.07870.07-0.27-0.47
0.34-0.241600.07290.06-0.25-0.66
0.19-0.17162.50.05330.05-0.18-0.81
0.09-0.101650.03190.03-0.10-0.92
0.04-0.05167.50.01650.01-0.05-0.97
0.02-0.031700.00860.01-0.03-0.99
0.01-0.01172.50.00480.01-0.02-1.00
0.01-0.011750.00290.00-0.02-1.00

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 40 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot120138145155172.51902K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot459513614616519013K13K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 192K call contracts, 179K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: TGT workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk