Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 13, 10:25 PM ET

LLY max pain

Spot (delayed)$1,168
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$1,040-11.0% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$147.2±12.6% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI1.3322K puts / 17K calls
Call wall$1,200largest call OI
Put wall$1,100largest put OI
IV3041.8%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$7.8Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $1,300
Earnings · expectedThu, Oct 29usually before the open

Event risk before this expiration: CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$1,160-0.7%3d
Fri, Oct 23$1,150-1.5%10d
Fri, Oct 30$1,175+0.6%17d← 1st expiry after earnings (Thu, Oct 29)
Fri, Nov 6$1,185+1.5%24d
Fri, Nov 13$1,170+0.2%31d
Fri, Nov 20$1,150-1.5%38d
Fri, Nov 27$1,205+3.2%45d
Fri, Dec 18$1,040-11.0%66d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot1040320588856112413921660$1.1B$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 1040 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot1040320520710900110013001K1K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)LLY open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot1040320520710900110013008787
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot320588856112413921660144%33%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 37.1% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spotflip 1300690830940108012201380+$1.8M−$1.8M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.83-0.3410200.00131.27-0.37-0.17
0.80-0.3810400.00151.40-0.40-0.20
0.77-0.4210600.00161.53-0.44-0.24
0.73-0.4510800.00181.65-0.47-0.28
0.69-0.4811000.00191.75-0.50-0.31
0.65-0.5111200.00201.84-0.53-0.35
0.61-0.5311400.00211.91-0.54-0.40
0.57-0.5411600.00211.95-0.55-0.44
0.52-0.5511800.00221.98-0.56-0.48
0.48-0.5512000.00221.98-0.56-0.53
0.44-0.5412200.00221.96-0.55-0.57
0.40-0.5312400.00211.92-0.54-0.61
0.36-0.5112600.00201.86-0.52-0.65
0.32-0.4912800.00201.78-0.49-0.69
0.29-0.4713000.00191.70-0.47-0.73

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 60 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot50097010801165125014203K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot3207409201070121014809K9K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 149K call contracts, 177K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: LLY workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk