Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 13, 10:25 PM ET

LLY max pain

Spot (delayed)$1,168
Max pain · Fri, Nov 6$1,185+1.5% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$107.05±9.2% by Fri, Nov 6
Put/Call OI1.764K puts / 2K calls
Call wall$1,240largest call OI
Put wall$985largest put OI
IV3041.8%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$809Kper 1% move
Earnings · expectedThu, Oct 29usually before the open

Event risk before this expiration: CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$1,160-0.7%3d
Fri, Oct 23$1,150-1.5%10d
Fri, Oct 30$1,175+0.6%17d← 1st expiry after earnings (Thu, Oct 29)
Fri, Nov 6$1,185+1.5%24d
Fri, Nov 13$1,170+0.2%31d
Fri, Nov 20$1,150-1.5%38d
Fri, Nov 27$1,205+3.2%45d
Fri, Dec 18$1,040-11.0%66d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot11856908721054123614181600$123M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 1185 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Nov 6

spot11856908601030111511851255573573
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)LLY open contracts per strike for Fri, Nov 6.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Nov 6

spot118569086010301115118512553131
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Nov 6

spot6908721054123614181600102%43%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 44.6% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Nov 6

spot7909851070115011951260+$1.2M−$1.2M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Nov 6

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.68-1.0011150.00261.07-1.02-0.32
0.61-1.0811400.00281.15-1.09-0.39
0.60-1.0911450.00291.16-1.10-0.40
0.59-1.0911500.00291.17-1.11-0.42
0.57-1.1011550.00291.18-1.11-0.43
0.56-1.1111600.00291.18-1.12-0.45
0.54-1.1111650.00301.19-1.12-0.46
0.53-1.1111700.00301.19-1.13-0.48
0.51-1.1111750.00301.20-1.13-0.49
0.50-1.1111800.00301.20-1.13-0.51
0.48-1.1111850.00301.20-1.12-0.52
0.47-1.1011900.00301.19-1.12-0.54
0.45-1.1011950.00301.19-1.11-0.55
0.44-1.0912000.00301.18-1.11-0.57
0.42-1.0812050.00301.18-1.10-0.58

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 60 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot50097010801165125014203K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot3207409201070121014809K9K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 149K call contracts, 177K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: LLY workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk