Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 13, 8:19 PM ET

LLY max pain

Spot (delayed)$1,167
Max pain · Fri, Oct 16$1,160-0.6% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$29.2±2.5% by Fri, Oct 16
Put/Call OI1.1427K puts / 23K calls
Call wall$1,200largest call OI
Put wall$520largest put OI
IV3041.8%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$10.7Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $1,220
Earnings · expectedThu, Oct 29usually before the open

Event risk before this expiration: CPI release Wed, Oct 14 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$1,160-0.6%3d
Fri, Oct 23$1,150-1.4%10d
Fri, Oct 30$1,175+0.7%17d← 1st expiry after earnings (Thu, Oct 29)
Fri, Nov 6$1,185+1.6%24d
Fri, Nov 13$1,170+0.3%31d
Fri, Nov 20$1,150-1.4%38d
Fri, Nov 27$1,205+3.3%45d
Fri, Dec 18$1,040-10.8%66d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot11604907521014127615381800$1.2B$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 1160 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot116049086010401120120513404K4K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)LLY open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 16.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot11604908601040112012051340389389
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot7809841188139215961800131%33%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 34.4% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spotflip 122094010401105116012101300+$10.7M−$10.7M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 16

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.93-0.7411100.00330.14-0.75-0.07
0.92-0.9011150.00390.17-0.91-0.09
0.90-1.0711200.00460.19-1.08-0.10
0.84-1.4711300.00620.26-1.49-0.16
0.78-1.9211400.00790.32-1.93-0.23
0.69-2.3211500.00950.38-2.34-0.31
0.59-2.5911600.01050.41-2.62-0.41
0.48-2.6611700.01080.42-2.69-0.52
0.43-2.6011750.01070.42-2.63-0.57
0.38-2.5011800.01040.40-2.53-0.63
0.28-2.1611900.00920.36-2.18-0.72
0.20-1.7312000.00760.30-1.74-0.81
0.17-1.5012050.00670.27-1.51-0.84
0.14-1.2912100.00590.24-1.29-0.87
0.09-0.9112200.00430.18-0.90-0.92

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 60 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot50097010801165125014203K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot3207409201070121014809K9K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 149K call contracts, 177K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: LLY workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk