Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 13, 10:25 PM ET

LLY max pain

Spot (delayed)$1,168
Max pain · Fri, Nov 20$1,150-1.5% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$119.05±10.2% by Fri, Nov 20
Put/Call OI1.0915K puts / 13K calls
Call wall$1,460largest call OI
Put wall$1,000largest put OI
IV3041.8%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$5.9Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $1,320
Earnings · expectedThu, Oct 29usually before the open

Event risk before this expiration: CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$1,160-0.7%3d
Fri, Oct 23$1,150-1.5%10d
Fri, Oct 30$1,175+0.6%17d← 1st expiry after earnings (Thu, Oct 29)
Fri, Nov 6$1,185+1.5%24d
Fri, Nov 13$1,170+0.2%31d
Fri, Nov 20$1,150-1.5%38d
Fri, Nov 27$1,205+3.2%45d
Fri, Dec 18$1,040-11.0%66d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot11505407921044129615481800$647M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 1150 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot115054088010001100120013602K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)LLY open contracts per strike for Fri, Nov 20.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot11505408801000110012001360227227
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot540792104412961548180091%32%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 39.6% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spotflip 13208009301040114012501440+$3.5M−$3.5M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Nov 20

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.71-0.6811000.00221.29-0.69-0.29
0.69-0.7011100.00231.34-0.71-0.32
0.66-0.7211200.00241.38-0.73-0.34
0.64-0.7411300.00251.42-0.75-0.37
0.61-0.7611400.00251.45-0.76-0.39
0.58-0.7711500.00261.47-0.78-0.42
0.56-0.7811600.00261.49-0.78-0.45
0.53-0.7811700.00271.50-0.79-0.47
0.50-0.7811800.00271.50-0.79-0.50
0.48-0.7811900.00271.50-0.78-0.53
0.45-0.7712000.00271.49-0.78-0.55
0.43-0.7612100.00261.48-0.77-0.58
0.40-0.7512200.00261.46-0.75-0.60
0.35-0.7212400.00251.40-0.72-0.65
0.33-0.7012500.00241.36-0.70-0.68

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 60 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot50097010801165125014203K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot3207409201070121014809K9K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 149K call contracts, 177K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: LLY workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk