Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 27, 1:14 PM ET

LLY max pain

Spot (delayed)$1,186
Max pain · Fri, Nov 20$1,140-3.9% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$167.88±14.2% by Fri, Nov 20
Put/Call OI1.527K puts / 5K calls
Call wall$1,420largest call OI
Put wall$1,000largest put OI
IV3031.3%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$457Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $1,500

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 28$1,210+2.0%1d
Fri, Sep 4$1,193+0.6%8d
Fri, Sep 11$1,195+0.8%15d
Fri, Sep 18$1,080-8.9%22d
Fri, Sep 25$1,230+3.7%29d
Fri, Oct 2$1,235+4.2%36d
Fri, Oct 16$1,160-2.2%50d
Fri, Nov 20$1,140-3.9%85d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot11405207761032128815441800$308M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 1140 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot1140520840940105011501340604604
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)LLY open contracts per strike for Fri, Nov 20.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot1140520840940105011501340162162
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot5207761032128815441800106%35%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 36.5% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spotflip 1500670870970108012001400+$1.1M$1.1M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Nov 20

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.72-0.3711000.00161.95-0.41-0.28
0.70-0.3811100.00162.00-0.42-0.30
0.69-0.3911200.00172.05-0.43-0.32
0.67-0.4011300.00172.10-0.43-0.34
0.65-0.4111400.00182.14-0.44-0.35
0.63-0.4211500.00182.18-0.45-0.37
0.61-0.4311600.00182.21-0.45-0.39
0.57-0.4511800.00192.26-0.46-0.43
0.54-0.4512000.00192.29-0.47-0.47
0.50-0.4612200.00192.30-0.47-0.51
0.46-0.4612400.00192.29-0.46-0.55
0.43-0.4512600.00192.26-0.45-0.58
0.39-0.4512800.00182.22-0.44-0.62
0.36-0.4313000.00182.16-0.42-0.66
0.33-0.4213200.00172.08-0.41-0.69

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 60 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot800110511701225128514601K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot3207108701030122014409K9K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 160K call contracts, 206K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: LLY workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk