Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Nov 8, 6:59 PM ET

TMO max pain

Spot (delayed)$694.76
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EVIDENCE — filed/published fact
SourceCboe delayed quote, underlying price
Fieldcurrent_price
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 8, 6:59 PM ET
HowAbout 15 minutes delayed.
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Max pain · Fri, Dec 11Not showntoo thin to read
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$57.6
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INFERENCE — derived by arithmetic
SourceAt-the-money straddle midpoint
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 8, 6:59 PM ET
HowCall midpoint plus put midpoint at the strike nearest spot for the 2026-12-11 expiration = 57.60 USD, 8.3% of 694.76 spot.
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±8.3% by Fri, Dec 11
Put/Call OI0.22
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INFERENCE — derived by arithmetic
SourcePut open interest divided by call open interest
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 8, 6:59 PM ET
How5 put contracts / 23 call contracts = 0.22 for the 2026-12-11 expiration. Open interest is published once a day, before the open, so it describes the previous session.
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5 puts / 23 calls
IV3032.9%
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EVIDENCE — filed/published fact
SourceCboe 30-day implied volatility for the underlying
Fieldiv30
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 8, 6:59 PM ET
HowAs Cboe publishes it; not computed by us.
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30-day implied vol

Too thin to read: 28 open contracts across 10 strikes. Max pain, walls and gamma print from 100 contracts across 5 strikes.

Event risk before this expiration: CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 13$690-0.7%5d
Fri, Nov 20$670-3.6%12d
Fri, Nov 27$670-3.6%19d
Fri, Dec 4$670-3.6%26d
Fri, Dec 11too thin33d
Fri, Dec 18$620-10.8%40d
Fri, Jan 15$550-20.8%68d
Fri, Mar 19$610-12.2%131d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

Too thin to read: 28 open contracts across 10 strikes. Max pain, walls and gamma print from 100 contracts across 5 strikes.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 11

spot64066070073075088
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)TMO open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 11.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 11

spot70071076011
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 11

spot64066468871273676036%32%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 33.5% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 11

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.79-0.336400.00360.63-0.33-0.21
0.75-0.356500.00410.68-0.35-0.25
0.71-0.376600.00450.74-0.37-0.29
0.56-0.416900.00550.85-0.41-0.44
0.50-0.417000.00560.86-0.41-0.50
0.45-0.407100.00560.85-0.41-0.56
0.34-0.377300.00520.79-0.38-0.66
0.29-0.357400.00490.74-0.35-0.71
0.25-0.327500.00450.69-0.33-0.76
0.21-0.297600.00410.63-0.30-0.79

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot310590670702.57357903K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot3004004905806707505K5K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 32K call contracts, 33K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Max pain, walls and gamma print only when an expiration holds at least 100 open contracts across 5 strikes, and max pain also needs to stay within 5% of spot when its single heaviest strike is removed. Below that the expiration reads as thin rather than printing a level one trade could move.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

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