Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 25, 11:14 PM ET

NVAX max pain

Spot (delayed)$9.79
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$11+12.4% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$2.76±28.2% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI0.35333 puts / 951 calls
Call wall$21largest call OI
Put wall$6largest put OI
IV3093.6%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$4Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $13

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 30$11+12.4%5d
Fri, Nov 6$10+2.2%12d
Fri, Nov 13$11+12.4%19d
Fri, Nov 20$11+12.4%26d
Fri, Nov 27$13+32.8%33d
Fri, Dec 4$10+2.2%40d
Fri, Dec 18$11+12.4%54d
Fri, Jan 15$10+2.2%82d
Fri, Apr 16$9-8.1%173d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot116912151821$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 11 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot1169121519297297
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)NVAX open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot1169121519201201
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot6912151821150%80%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 89.8% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spotflip 1369121519+$2K−$2K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.93-0.0160.03740.01-0.01-0.08
0.87-0.0170.06140.01-0.01-0.14
0.78-0.0180.08940.01-0.01-0.23
0.67-0.0190.11110.01-0.01-0.34
0.55-0.01100.11910.01-0.01-0.46
0.44-0.01110.11510.01-0.01-0.56
0.36-0.01120.10500.01-0.01-0.65
0.29-0.01130.09310.01-0.01-0.72
0.24-0.01140.08150.01-0.01-0.77
0.20-0.01150.07100.01-0.01-0.81
0.17-0.01160.06190.01-0.01-0.85
0.12-0.01180.04740.01-0.01-0.90

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 12 strikes around the money — all 15 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot3.58.511.514.518265K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot15.59.513.517.521.536K36K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 165K call contracts, 90K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: NVAX workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk