Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 25, 11:14 PM ET

NVAX max pain

Spot (delayed)$9.79
Max pain · Fri, Nov 6$10+2.2% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$1.7±17.4% by Fri, Nov 6
Put/Call OI0.09227 puts / 3K calls
Call wall$11.5largest call OI
Put wall$8.5largest put OI
IV3093.6%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$30Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $7.5

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 30$11+12.4%5d
Fri, Nov 6$10+2.2%12d
Fri, Nov 13$11+12.4%19d
Fri, Nov 20$11+12.4%26d
Fri, Nov 27$13+32.8%33d
Fri, Dec 4$10+2.2%40d
Fri, Dec 18$11+12.4%54d
Fri, Jan 15$10+2.2%82d
Fri, Apr 16$9-8.1%173d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot104711141821$2M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 10 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Nov 6

spot1049.51214.517669669
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)NVAX open contracts per strike for Fri, Nov 6.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Nov 6

spot1049.51214.517152152
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Nov 6

spot4711141821427%88%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 117.8% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Nov 6

spotflip 7.549.51214.517+$10K−$10K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Nov 6

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.99-0.0140.00840.00-0.01-0.01
0.90-0.017.50.08260.00-0.01-0.11
0.85-0.0280.11470.01-0.02-0.15
0.79-0.028.50.15440.01-0.02-0.22
0.70-0.0290.19380.01-0.02-0.31
0.59-0.039.50.21800.01-0.03-0.41
0.48-0.03100.21830.01-0.03-0.52
0.39-0.0310.50.20100.01-0.03-0.62
0.31-0.03110.17680.01-0.03-0.69
0.26-0.0211.50.15250.01-0.02-0.75
0.21-0.02120.13070.01-0.02-0.79
0.18-0.0212.50.11210.01-0.02-0.83
0.15-0.02130.09660.00-0.02-0.86
0.13-0.0213.50.08360.00-0.02-0.88

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 14 strikes around the money — all 25 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot3.58.511.514.518265K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot15.59.513.517.521.536K36K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 165K call contracts, 90K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: NVAX workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk