Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 25, 11:14 PM ET

NVAX max pain

Spot (delayed)$9.79
Max pain · Fri, Dec 4$10+2.2% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$2.46±25.1% by Fri, Dec 4
Put/Call OI0.000 puts / 7 calls
Call wall$10largest call OI
IV3093.6%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$74per 1% move

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 30$11+12.4%5d
Fri, Nov 6$10+2.2%12d
Fri, Nov 13$11+12.4%19d
Fri, Nov 20$11+12.4%26d
Fri, Nov 27$13+32.8%33d
Fri, Dec 4$10+2.2%40d
Fri, Dec 18$11+12.4%54d
Fri, Jan 15$10+2.2%82d
Fri, Apr 16$9-8.1%173d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 4

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 4

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot3.58.511.514.518265K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot15.59.513.517.521.536K36K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 165K call contracts, 90K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: NVAX workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk