Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 26, 2:16 AM ET

FBTC max pain

Spot (delayed)$70.42
Max pain · Fri, Mar 19$60-14.8% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$14.5±20.6% by Fri, Mar 19
Put/Call OI0.13183 puts / 1K calls
Call wall$110largest call OI
Put wall$66largest put OI
IV3037.3%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$106Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $51

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 30$70.5+0.1%4d
Fri, Nov 6$69.5-1.3%11d
Fri, Nov 13$70.5+0.1%18d
Fri, Nov 20$70-0.6%25d
Fri, Nov 27$72+2.2%32d
Fri, Dec 4$68-3.4%39d
Fri, Dec 18$58-17.6%53d
Fri, Jan 15$55-21.9%81d
Fri, Mar 19$60-14.8%144d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot603046627894110$4M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 60 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot60305158636890313313
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)FBTC open contracts per strike for Fri, Mar 19.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot603051586368902020
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot304662789411081%36%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 40.5% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spotflip 51305158636890+$28K−$28K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Mar 19

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.77-0.02620.01670.14-0.02-0.24
0.75-0.02630.01750.14-0.02-0.26
0.73-0.02640.01830.15-0.02-0.28
0.71-0.02650.01900.16-0.02-0.30
0.69-0.02660.01970.16-0.02-0.33
0.67-0.02670.02040.16-0.02-0.35
0.65-0.02680.02090.17-0.02-0.37
0.60-0.02700.02180.17-0.03-0.41
0.49-0.02750.02260.18-0.03-0.53
0.39-0.02800.02160.17-0.03-0.64
0.31-0.02850.01950.16-0.02-0.73
0.24-0.02900.01690.14-0.02-0.81
0.19-0.02950.01430.12-0.02-0.87
0.14-0.011000.01190.10-0.02-0.92
0.11-0.011050.00980.09-0.02-0.96

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 30 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot506467.57275.5796120
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot3057667710012517K17K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 54K call contracts, 30K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: FBTC workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk