Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 26, 2:16 AM ET

FBTC max pain

Spot (delayed)$70.42
Max pain · Fri, Nov 20$70-0.6% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$6±8.5% by Fri, Nov 20
Put/Call OI0.14364 puts / 3K calls
Call wall$81largest call OI
Put wall$70largest put OI
IV3037.3%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$327Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $75

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 30$70.5+0.1%4d
Fri, Nov 6$69.5-1.3%11d
Fri, Nov 13$70.5+0.1%18d
Fri, Nov 20$70-0.6%25d
Fri, Nov 27$72+2.2%32d
Fri, Dec 4$68-3.4%39d
Fri, Dec 18$58-17.6%53d
Fri, Jan 15$55-21.9%81d
Fri, Mar 19$60-14.8%144d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot70505866748290$3M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 70 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot705061667075801K1K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)FBTC open contracts per strike for Fri, Nov 20.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot70506166707580107107
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot50586674829073%34%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 38.2% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spotflip 75506267717681+$192K−$192K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Nov 20

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.77-0.0465.50.03670.06-0.04-0.23
0.76-0.04660.03880.06-0.05-0.25
0.72-0.05670.04280.07-0.05-0.29
0.70-0.0567.50.04480.07-0.05-0.31
0.67-0.05680.04670.07-0.05-0.33
0.65-0.0568.50.04840.07-0.05-0.36
0.63-0.05690.05000.07-0.05-0.38
0.57-0.05700.05260.08-0.05-0.43
0.52-0.05710.05420.08-0.05-0.49
0.47-0.05720.05460.08-0.05-0.54
0.44-0.0572.50.05440.08-0.05-0.57
0.41-0.05730.05380.08-0.05-0.60
0.36-0.05740.05190.07-0.05-0.65
0.32-0.05750.04910.07-0.05-0.70
0.27-0.04760.04570.07-0.04-0.75

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 34 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot506467.57275.5796120
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot3057667710012517K17K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 54K call contracts, 30K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: FBTC workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk