Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 26, 2:16 AM ET

FBTC max pain

Spot (delayed)$70.42
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$58-17.6% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$8.5±12.1% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI0.25883 puts / 4K calls
Call wall$75largest call OI
Put wall$45largest put OI
IV3037.3%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$424Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $58

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 30$70.5+0.1%4d
Fri, Nov 6$69.5-1.3%11d
Fri, Nov 13$70.5+0.1%18d
Fri, Nov 20$70-0.6%25d
Fri, Nov 27$72+2.2%32d
Fri, Dec 4$68-3.4%39d
Fri, Dec 18$58-17.6%53d
Fri, Jan 15$55-21.9%81d
Fri, Mar 19$60-14.8%144d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot583046627894110$12M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 58 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot58305562697695941941
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)FBTC open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot5830556269769588
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot3046627894110108%36%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 38.2% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spotflip 58305562697695+$173K−$173K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.80-0.03630.02440.08-0.03-0.20
0.78-0.03640.02660.08-0.03-0.23
0.75-0.03650.02880.09-0.03-0.26
0.72-0.03660.03100.09-0.03-0.29
0.69-0.03670.03300.10-0.04-0.32
0.66-0.04680.03480.10-0.04-0.35
0.62-0.04690.03630.11-0.04-0.39
0.58-0.04700.03740.11-0.04-0.43
0.55-0.04710.03820.11-0.04-0.47
0.51-0.04720.03860.11-0.04-0.51
0.47-0.04730.03850.11-0.04-0.55
0.43-0.04740.03800.11-0.04-0.58
0.40-0.04750.03720.11-0.04-0.62
0.36-0.04760.03610.10-0.04-0.66
0.33-0.03770.03480.10-0.04-0.69

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 39 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot506467.57275.5796120
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot3057667710012517K17K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 54K call contracts, 30K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: FBTC workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk