Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Nov 2, 9:35 PM ET

AVDV max pain

Spot (delayed)$105.27
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EVIDENCE — filed/published fact
SourceCboe delayed quote, underlying price
Fieldcurrent_price
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 2, 9:35 PM ET
HowAbout 15 minutes delayed.
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Max pain · Fri, Mar 19Not showntoo thin to read
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$9.05
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INFERENCE — derived by arithmetic
SourceAt-the-money straddle midpoint
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 2, 9:35 PM ET
HowCall midpoint plus put midpoint at the strike nearest spot for the 2027-03-19 expiration = 9.05 USD, 8.6% of 105.27 spot.
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±8.6% by Fri, Mar 19
Put/Call OI0.40
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INFERENCE — derived by arithmetic
SourcePut open interest divided by call open interest
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 2, 9:35 PM ET
How12 put contracts / 30 call contracts = 0.40 for the 2027-03-19 expiration. Open interest is published once a day, before the open, so it describes the previous session.
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12 puts / 30 calls
IV3016.4%
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EVIDENCE — filed/published fact
SourceCboe 30-day implied volatility for the underlying
Fieldiv30
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 2, 9:35 PM ET
HowAs Cboe publishes it; not computed by us.
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30-day implied vol

Too thin to read: 42 open contracts across 10 strikes. Max pain, walls and gamma print from 100 contracts across 5 strikes.

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$108+2.6%17d
Fri, Dec 18one strike decides45d
Fri, Mar 19too thin136d
Thu, Jun 17too thin226d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

Too thin to read: 42 open contracts across 10 strikes. Max pain, walls and gamma print from 100 contracts across 5 strikes.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot701011091111141212
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)AVDV open contracts per strike for Fri, Mar 19.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Mar 19

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot7079889710611558%13%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 17.8% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Mar 19

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.94-0.01700.00440.07-0.01-0.07
0.68-0.021000.02780.23-0.02-0.31
0.66-0.021010.02980.23-0.02-0.34
0.63-0.011020.03190.24-0.02-0.36
0.38-0.011090.03740.24-0.01-0.62
0.34-0.011100.03590.23-0.01-0.65
0.31-0.011110.03400.23-0.01-0.68
0.28-0.011120.03190.22-0.01-0.71
0.24-0.011140.02790.20-0.01-0.75
0.22-0.011150.02600.19-0.01-0.77

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot751011061101131161710
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot6594100106112118510510
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 434 call contracts, 666 put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Max pain, walls and gamma print only when an expiration holds at least 100 open contracts across 5 strikes, and max pain also needs to stay within 5% of spot when its single heaviest strike is removed. Below that the expiration reads as thin rather than printing a level one trade could move.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

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