Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 20, 1:42 AM ET

AGM max pain

Spot (delayed)$226.93
Max pain · Fri, Feb 19$160-29.5% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$36.25±16.0% by Fri, Feb 19
Put/Call OI0.4132 puts / 78 calls
Call wall$240largest call OI
Put wall$115largest put OI
IV3023.5%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$24Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $160

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 21$160-29.5%1d
Fri, Sep 18$210-7.5%29d
Fri, Nov 20$180-20.7%92d
Fri, Jan 15$200-11.9%148d
Fri, Feb 19$160-29.5%183d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot16095134173212251290$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 160 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Feb 19

spot160951151351601952701616
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)AGM open contracts per strike for Fri, Feb 19.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Feb 19

spot1609511513516019527011
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Feb 19

spot9513417321225129073%26%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 28.2% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Feb 19

spotflip 16095115135160240280+$7K$7K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Feb 19

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.96-0.001450.00140.14-0.02-0.04
0.95-0.011500.00170.16-0.02-0.05
0.93-0.011600.00230.21-0.02-0.07
0.92-0.011650.00260.24-0.02-0.09
0.90-0.021700.00310.27-0.03-0.10
0.82-0.031900.00510.42-0.04-0.18
0.79-0.031950.00570.45-0.04-0.21
0.44-0.042400.00910.63-0.04-0.58
0.35-0.042500.00870.59-0.04-0.67
0.28-0.042600.00790.54-0.04-0.75
0.22-0.032700.00690.47-0.03-0.81
0.17-0.032800.00580.40-0.02-0.87
0.13-0.022900.00480.34-0.02-0.91

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 13 strikes around the money — all 23 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot801451651902202603060
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot80115150185240310316316
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 2K call contracts, 746 put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: AGM workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk