Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 28, 9:34 PM ET

TSM max pain

Spot (delayed)$431.28
Max pain · Fri, Jan 15$380-11.9% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$57.5±13.3% by Fri, Jan 15
Put/Call OI0.77201K puts / 260K calls
Call wall$560largest call OI
Put wall$400largest put OI
IV3033.1%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$72.0Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $490

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 30$425-1.5%2d
Fri, Nov 6$440+2.0%9d
Fri, Nov 13$435+0.9%16d
Fri, Nov 20$420-2.6%23d
Fri, Nov 27$450+4.3%30d
Fri, Dec 4$440+2.0%37d
Fri, Dec 18$420-2.6%51d
Fri, Jan 15$380-11.9%79d
Fri, Feb 19$420-2.6%114d
Fri, Mar 19$420-2.6%142d
Fri, Apr 16$430-0.3%170d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot38070192314436558680$5.6B$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 380 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot3807015524034044054028K28K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)TSM open contracts per strike for Fri, Jan 15.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot380701552403404405402K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot70192314436558680130%34%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 35.0% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spotflip 490175250330410490580+$17.6M−$17.6M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Jan 15

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.90-0.083600.00230.38-0.09-0.11
0.87-0.103700.00280.44-0.10-0.13
0.84-0.113800.00320.51-0.12-0.17
0.80-0.133900.00380.58-0.13-0.20
0.76-0.144000.00420.64-0.15-0.25
0.71-0.154100.00470.70-0.16-0.29
0.66-0.164200.00500.75-0.17-0.35
0.61-0.174300.00530.79-0.18-0.40
0.55-0.184400.00550.81-0.18-0.46
0.50-0.184500.00560.82-0.18-0.51
0.45-0.174600.00560.81-0.18-0.57
0.39-0.174700.00540.79-0.17-0.62
0.34-0.164800.00520.75-0.16-0.67
0.30-0.154900.00490.71-0.15-0.72
0.26-0.145000.00450.66-0.14-0.76

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 60 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot230315382.5420452.549515K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot7020032041548060079K79K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 928K call contracts, 952K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: TSM workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk