Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 28, 9:34 PM ET

TSM max pain

Spot (delayed)$431.28
Max pain · Fri, Nov 6$440+2.0% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$21.1±4.9% by Fri, Nov 6
Put/Call OI0.9125K puts / 27K calls
Call wall$460largest call OI
Put wall$375largest put OI
IV3033.1%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$22.4Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $460

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 30$425-1.5%2d
Fri, Nov 6$440+2.0%9d
Fri, Nov 13$435+0.9%16d
Fri, Nov 20$420-2.6%23d
Fri, Nov 27$450+4.3%30d
Fri, Dec 4$440+2.0%37d
Fri, Dec 18$420-2.6%51d
Fri, Jan 15$380-11.9%79d
Fri, Feb 19$420-2.6%114d
Fri, Mar 19$420-2.6%142d
Fri, Apr 16$430-0.3%170d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot440230298366434502570$411M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 440 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Nov 6

spot440230360397.5422.5447.548012K12K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)TSM open contracts per strike for Fri, Nov 6.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Nov 6

spot440230360397.5422.5447.54802K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Nov 6

spot230298366434502570135%29%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 36.3% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Nov 6

spotflip 460285375405430455495+$26.5M−$26.5M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Nov 6

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.84-0.354150.00900.17-0.35-0.16
0.82-0.38417.50.01000.18-0.38-0.18
0.80-0.414200.01090.20-0.41-0.21
0.77-0.44422.50.01180.21-0.44-0.23
0.74-0.464250.01270.23-0.47-0.26
0.70-0.49427.50.01360.24-0.49-0.30
0.67-0.514300.01440.25-0.52-0.33
0.63-0.53432.50.01500.26-0.53-0.37
0.60-0.544350.01560.27-0.55-0.41
0.56-0.55437.50.01600.27-0.56-0.45
0.52-0.554400.01620.28-0.56-0.49
0.48-0.55442.50.01630.28-0.55-0.53
0.43-0.544450.01620.27-0.55-0.57
0.40-0.53447.50.01590.27-0.53-0.61
0.36-0.514500.01540.26-0.51-0.65

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 60 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot230315382.5420452.549515K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot7020032041548060079K79K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 928K call contracts, 952K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: TSM workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk