Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 14, 1:05 PM ET

SQM max pain

Spot (delayed)$72.16
Max pain · Fri, Jan 15$70-3.0% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$18.9±26.2% by Fri, Jan 15
Put/Call OI2.067K puts / 3K calls
Call wall$80largest call OI
Put wall$37.5largest put OI
IV3050.4%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$156Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $25

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 21$70-3.0%6d
Fri, Sep 18$65-9.9%34d
Fri, Oct 16$65-9.9%62d
Fri, Jan 15$70-3.0%153d
Fri, Jan 21$40-44.6%524d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot7023467093117140$24M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 70 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot7022.54057.57592.51201K1K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)SQM open contracts per strike for Fri, Jan 15.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot7022.54057.57592.512044
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot23467093117140109%47%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 50.6% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spotflip 2522.54057.57592.5120+$79K$79K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Jan 15

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.83-0.02550.00940.12-0.02-0.17
0.81-0.0257.50.01060.13-0.02-0.20
0.77-0.02600.01190.14-0.02-0.23
0.74-0.0262.50.01310.15-0.03-0.26
0.70-0.03650.01420.16-0.03-0.30
0.66-0.0367.50.01510.17-0.03-0.34
0.62-0.03700.01590.18-0.03-0.38
0.58-0.0372.50.01640.18-0.03-0.43
0.54-0.03750.01680.19-0.03-0.47
0.50-0.0377.50.01690.19-0.03-0.51
0.46-0.03800.01680.19-0.03-0.55
0.43-0.0382.50.01660.18-0.03-0.59
0.39-0.03850.01620.18-0.03-0.63
0.36-0.0387.50.01570.18-0.03-0.66
0.33-0.03900.01510.17-0.03-0.69

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 40 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot356072.58597.51201K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot22.54057.57592.51202K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 8K call contracts, 9K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: SQM workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk