Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 28, 1:29 AM ET

NTR max pain

Spot (delayed)$69.37
Max pain · Fri, Mar 19$70+0.9% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$11.5±16.6% by Fri, Mar 19
Put/Call OI0.26679 puts / 3K calls
Call wall$82.5largest call OI
Put wall$70largest put OI
IV3035.5%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$202Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $80

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 30$69-0.5%2d
Fri, Nov 6$70+0.9%9d
Fri, Nov 13$67-3.4%16d
Fri, Nov 20$70+0.9%23d
Fri, Nov 27$66-4.9%30d
Fri, Dec 4$74+6.7%37d
Fri, Dec 18$62.5-9.9%51d
Fri, Jan 15$67.5-2.7%79d
Fri, Mar 19$70+0.9%142d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot7045607590105120$10M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 70 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot704557.567.577.587.51101K1K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)NTR open contracts per strike for Fri, Mar 19.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot704557.567.577.587.5110200200
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot4560759010512048%32%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 33.2% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spotflip 804557.567.577.587.5110+$156K−$156K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Mar 19

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.94-0.01500.00760.05-0.01-0.06
0.88-0.01550.01280.09-0.01-0.12
0.84-0.0157.50.01600.10-0.01-0.16
0.79-0.01600.01920.12-0.01-0.21
0.74-0.0162.50.02230.14-0.02-0.27
0.68-0.02650.02480.15-0.02-0.33
0.61-0.0267.50.02670.17-0.02-0.40
0.54-0.02700.02760.17-0.02-0.47
0.47-0.0272.50.02770.17-0.02-0.54
0.41-0.02750.02700.17-0.02-0.61
0.35-0.0277.50.02570.16-0.02-0.67
0.30-0.02800.02390.15-0.02-0.72
0.25-0.0282.50.02180.14-0.01-0.77
0.21-0.01850.01970.13-0.01-0.81
0.18-0.0187.50.01750.11-0.01-0.85

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 23 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot4060667278854850
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot22.55062.57281909K9K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 50K call contracts, 34K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: NTR workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk