Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 28, 1:29 AM ET

NTR max pain

Spot (delayed)$69.37
Max pain · Fri, Jan 15$67.5-2.7% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$8.5±12.3% by Fri, Jan 15
Put/Call OI0.8823K puts / 26K calls
Call wall$95largest call OI
Put wall$45largest put OI
IV3035.5%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$769Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $80

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 30$69-0.5%2d
Fri, Nov 6$70+0.9%9d
Fri, Nov 13$67-3.4%16d
Fri, Nov 20$70+0.9%23d
Fri, Nov 27$66-4.9%30d
Fri, Dec 4$74+6.7%37d
Fri, Dec 18$62.5-9.9%51d
Fri, Jan 15$67.5-2.7%79d
Fri, Mar 19$70+0.9%142d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot67.525456585105125$102M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 67.5 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot67.525405570851058K8K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)NTR open contracts per strike for Fri, Jan 15.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot67.525405570851055252
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot25456585105125111%33%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 32.5% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spotflip 802540557085105+$405K−$405K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Jan 15

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.96-0.0152.50.00780.03-0.01-0.06
0.93-0.01550.01120.04-0.01-0.08
0.90-0.0157.50.01570.06-0.01-0.11
0.85-0.01600.02130.07-0.02-0.16
0.79-0.0262.50.02750.09-0.02-0.23
0.71-0.02650.03330.11-0.02-0.31
0.62-0.0367.50.03740.12-0.03-0.40
0.53-0.03700.03920.13-0.03-0.49
0.43-0.0372.50.03850.13-0.03-0.58
0.34-0.02750.03570.12-0.02-0.67
0.27-0.0277.50.03170.11-0.02-0.74
0.21-0.02800.02710.09-0.02-0.80
0.16-0.0282.50.02270.08-0.01-0.85
0.12-0.01850.01860.07-0.01-0.89
0.10-0.0187.50.01500.06-0.01-0.92

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 35 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot4060667278854850
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot22.55062.57281909K9K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 50K call contracts, 34K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: NTR workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk