Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 28, 1:29 AM ET

NTR max pain

Spot (delayed)$69.37
Max pain · Fri, Dec 4$74+6.7% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$6.35±9.2% by Fri, Dec 4
Put/Call OI1.008 puts / 8 calls
Call wall$76largest call OI
Put wall$61largest put OI
IV3035.5%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$136per 1% move · flip ≈ $81

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 30$69-0.5%2d
Fri, Nov 6$70+0.9%9d
Fri, Nov 13$67-3.4%16d
Fri, Nov 20$70+0.9%23d
Fri, Nov 27$66-4.9%30d
Fri, Dec 4$74+6.7%37d
Fri, Dec 18$62.5-9.9%51d
Fri, Jan 15$67.5-2.7%79d
Fri, Mar 19$70+0.9%142d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot74616569737781$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 74 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 4

spot746164748166
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)NTR open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 4.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 4

spot746164748166
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 4

spot61656973778138%36%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 35.4% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 4

spotflip 8161647481+$1K−$1K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 4

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.87-0.02610.02440.05-0.02-0.13
0.82-0.03630.03200.06-0.03-0.19
0.78-0.03640.03600.07-0.03-0.22
0.74-0.03650.03990.07-0.03-0.26
0.32-0.04740.04500.08-0.04-0.69
0.25-0.03760.03910.07-0.03-0.77
0.12-0.02810.02390.05-0.02-0.90

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot4060667278854850
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot22.55062.57281909K9K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 50K call contracts, 34K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: NTR workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk