Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 25, 11:08 PM ET

MSCI max pain

Spot (delayed)$615.62
Max pain · Fri, Dec 17$530-13.9% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$153±24.9% by Fri, Dec 17
Put/Call OI4.74166 puts / 35 calls
Call wall$630largest call OI
Put wall$530largest put OI
IV3024.8%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$72Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $490

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$580-5.8%25d
Fri, Dec 18$590-4.2%53d
Fri, Jan 15$640+4.0%81d
Fri, Mar 19$550-10.7%144d
Thu, Jun 17$590-4.2%234d
Fri, Dec 17$530-13.9%417d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot530280368456544632720$4M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 530 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 17

spot530280450510550640104104
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MSCI open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 17.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 17

spot53028045051055064022
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 17

spot28036845654463272044%28%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 29.4% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 17

spotflip 490280450510550640+$61K−$61K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 17

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.80-0.055100.00141.83-0.07-0.21
0.79-0.055200.00141.91-0.07-0.22
0.77-0.055300.00151.98-0.07-0.24
0.75-0.065400.00162.06-0.07-0.26
0.74-0.065500.00162.13-0.08-0.28
0.72-0.065600.00172.20-0.08-0.29
0.66-0.075900.00192.38-0.08-0.36
0.58-0.086300.00212.53-0.09-0.44
0.56-0.086400.00212.56-0.09-0.47
0.45-0.087000.00212.57-0.09-0.60
0.41-0.087200.00212.53-0.09-0.65

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 11 strikes around the money — all 19 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot2705005806607408201K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot2703804906007108201K1K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 4K call contracts, 5K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MSCI workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk