Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 25, 11:08 PM ET

MSCI max pain

Spot (delayed)$615.62
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$590-4.2% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$46.95±7.6% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI1.252K puts / 1K calls
Call wall$600largest call OI
Put wall$520largest put OI
IV3024.8%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$1.1Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $600

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$580-5.8%25d
Fri, Dec 18$590-4.2%53d
Fri, Jan 15$640+4.0%81d
Fri, Mar 19$550-10.7%144d
Thu, Jun 17$590-4.2%234d
Fri, Dec 17$530-13.9%417d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot590270392514636758880$41M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 590 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot590270370470570670780227227
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MSCI open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot5902703704705706707805656
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot29040852664476288094%23%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 24.2% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spotflip 600370450530610690780+$293K−$293K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.86-0.145500.00320.54-0.14-0.14
0.83-0.155600.00380.62-0.16-0.18
0.79-0.175700.00440.70-0.17-0.22
0.74-0.195800.00500.78-0.19-0.26
0.69-0.205900.00560.85-0.20-0.32
0.63-0.216000.00610.91-0.21-0.38
0.57-0.216100.00640.94-0.22-0.44
0.50-0.216200.00660.96-0.22-0.51
0.44-0.216300.00660.95-0.21-0.57
0.37-0.206400.00640.91-0.20-0.64
0.31-0.186500.00610.85-0.19-0.70
0.26-0.176600.00560.78-0.17-0.76
0.21-0.156700.00490.70-0.15-0.81
0.17-0.136800.00430.61-0.13-0.86
0.13-0.116900.00370.52-0.11-0.89

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 58 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot2705005806607408201K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot2703804906007108201K1K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 4K call contracts, 5K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MSCI workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk