Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 25, 11:08 PM ET

MSCI max pain

Spot (delayed)$615.62
Max pain · Fri, Mar 19$550-10.7% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$85.85±13.9% by Fri, Mar 19
Put/Call OI0.81555 puts / 685 calls
Call wall$650largest call OI
Put wall$350largest put OI
IV3024.8%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$556Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $610

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$580-5.8%25d
Fri, Dec 18$590-4.2%53d
Fri, Jan 15$640+4.0%81d
Fri, Mar 19$550-10.7%144d
Thu, Jun 17$590-4.2%234d
Fri, Dec 17$530-13.9%417d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot550330448566684802920$21M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 550 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot550330430510590670820280280
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MSCI open contracts per strike for Fri, Mar 19.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot5503304305105906708201616
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot33044856668480292047%25%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 27.6% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spotflip 610330430510590670820+$403K−$403K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Mar 19

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.78-0.125500.00261.16-0.12-0.23
0.75-0.125600.00281.24-0.12-0.26
0.72-0.135700.00301.31-0.13-0.29
0.69-0.135800.00321.38-0.14-0.32
0.65-0.145900.00341.43-0.14-0.35
0.62-0.146000.00361.48-0.14-0.39
0.58-0.146100.00371.52-0.15-0.43
0.55-0.146200.00381.54-0.15-0.47
0.51-0.146300.00381.55-0.15-0.51
0.47-0.146400.00381.54-0.15-0.55
0.43-0.146500.00381.53-0.15-0.58
0.40-0.136600.00381.50-0.15-0.63
0.36-0.136700.00371.46-0.14-0.66
0.33-0.126800.00361.41-0.14-0.70
0.30-0.126900.00341.35-0.13-0.74

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 45 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot2705005806607408201K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot2703804906007108201K1K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 4K call contracts, 5K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MSCI workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk