Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 14, 1:56 AM ET

MGA max pain

Spot (delayed)$69.97
Max pain · Fri, Jan 15$40-42.8% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$12.6±18.0% by Fri, Jan 15
Put/Call OI0.281K puts / 4K calls
Call wall$75largest call OI
Put wall$50largest put OI
IV3030.0%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$293Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $37.5

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 21$67.5-3.5%6d
Fri, Sep 18$65-7.1%34d
Fri, Oct 16$60-14.2%62d
Fri, Nov 20$62.5-10.7%97d
Fri, Dec 18$65-7.1%125d
Fri, Jan 15$40-42.8%153d
Fri, Mar 19$67.5-3.5%216d
Fri, Jan 21$45-35.7%524d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot401834516784100$17M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 40 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot4017.53042.55567.5801K1K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MGA open contracts per strike for Fri, Jan 15.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot4017.53042.55567.5806060
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot183451678410099%32%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 35.0% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spotflip 37.517.53042.55567.580+$159K$159K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Jan 15

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.88-0.0152.50.01040.09-0.01-0.13
0.85-0.01550.01250.11-0.01-0.15
0.81-0.0157.50.01480.12-0.02-0.19
0.77-0.01600.01720.14-0.02-0.23
0.72-0.0262.50.01970.15-0.02-0.28
0.67-0.02650.02190.16-0.02-0.33
0.61-0.0267.50.02380.17-0.02-0.39
0.55-0.02700.02510.18-0.02-0.46
0.49-0.0272.50.02560.18-0.02-0.52
0.43-0.02750.02530.18-0.02-0.58
0.37-0.0277.50.02440.17-0.02-0.64
0.32-0.02800.02300.16-0.02-0.69
0.24-0.02850.01940.14-0.01-0.78
0.18-0.01900.01590.12-0.01-0.84
0.14-0.01950.01290.10-0.01-0.89

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 30 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot405057.56572.5805260
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot17.53042.55567.5802K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 7K call contracts, 3K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MGA workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk