Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Nov 2, 6:24 PM ET

EWJ max pain

Spot (delayed)$92.8
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EVIDENCE — filed/published fact
SourceCboe delayed quote, underlying price
Fieldcurrent_price
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 2, 6:24 PM ET
HowAbout 15 minutes delayed.
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Max pain · Fri, Dec 4Not showntoo thin to read
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$5.18
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INFERENCE — derived by arithmetic
SourceAt-the-money straddle midpoint
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 2, 6:24 PM ET
HowCall midpoint plus put midpoint at the strike nearest spot for the 2026-12-04 expiration = 5.18 USD, 5.6% of 92.80 spot.
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±5.6% by Fri, Dec 4
Put/Call OI4.11
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INFERENCE — derived by arithmetic
SourcePut open interest divided by call open interest
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 2, 6:24 PM ET
How37 put contracts / 9 call contracts = 4.11 for the 2026-12-04 expiration. Open interest is published once a day, before the open, so it describes the previous session.
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37 puts / 9 calls
IV3023.6%
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EVIDENCE — filed/published fact
SourceCboe 30-day implied volatility for the underlying
Fieldiv30
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 2, 6:24 PM ET
HowAs Cboe publishes it; not computed by us.
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30-day implied vol

Too thin to read: 46 open contracts across 13 strikes. Max pain, walls and gamma print from 100 contracts across 5 strikes.

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 6$96+3.4%3d
Fri, Nov 13$94.5+1.8%10d
Fri, Nov 20$98+5.6%17d
Fri, Nov 27$94+1.3%24d
Fri, Dec 4too thin31d
Fri, Dec 11too thin38d
Fri, Dec 18$94.84+2.2%45d
Fri, Jan 15$89.84-3.2%73d
Fri, Mar 19$97+4.5%136d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

Too thin to read: 46 open contracts across 13 strikes. Max pain, walls and gamma print from 100 contracts across 5 strikes.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 4

spot879198101.51093030
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)EWJ open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 4.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 4

spot80889091991212
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 4

spot87919610010510943%22%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 23.4% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 4

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.80-0.03870.03460.08-0.04-0.20
0.74-0.04890.04420.09-0.04-0.27
0.69-0.04900.04930.10-0.04-0.31
0.65-0.04910.05420.10-0.04-0.36
0.62-0.0491.50.05640.10-0.04-0.39
0.47-0.04940.06190.11-0.04-0.54
0.26-0.03980.04850.09-0.04-0.76
0.24-0.0398.50.04600.09-0.03-0.79
0.22-0.03990.04350.08-0.03-0.80
0.15-0.03101.50.03220.07-0.03-0.88
0.14-0.031020.03020.06-0.03-0.89
0.13-0.021030.02670.06-0.03-0.91
0.06-0.021090.01330.03-0.02-0.97

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot80929597.51001053K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot34.8472.848389.8494.84104.8415K15K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 29K call contracts, 67K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Max pain, walls and gamma print only when an expiration holds at least 100 open contracts across 5 strikes, and max pain also needs to stay within 5% of spot when its single heaviest strike is removed. Below that the expiration reads as thin rather than printing a level one trade could move.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

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