Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 14, 1:11 PM ET

ESTC max pain

Spot (delayed)$85.77
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$50-41.7% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$27.75±32.4% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI0.17718 puts / 4K calls
Call wall$90largest call OI
Put wall$50largest put OI
IV3077.0%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$258Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $45

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 21$55-35.9%7d
Fri, Sep 18$70-18.4%35d
Fri, Nov 20$50-41.7%98d
Fri, Dec 18$50-41.7%126d
Fri, Jan 15$60-30.0%154d
Fri, Feb 19$65-24.2%189d
Thu, Jun 17$55-35.9%307d
Fri, Dec 17$85-0.9%490d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot5023456890113135$22M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 50 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot5022.54060801001201K1K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)ESTC open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot5022.54060801001204747
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot23456890113135154%68%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 70.0% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spotflip 4522.5406080100120+$111K$111K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.91-0.02500.00370.08-0.02-0.08
0.88-0.02550.00480.10-0.03-0.11
0.85-0.03600.00600.12-0.03-0.15
0.80-0.04650.00720.14-0.04-0.19
0.76-0.04700.00830.16-0.04-0.24
0.71-0.04750.00940.17-0.05-0.29
0.65-0.05800.01020.19-0.05-0.34
0.60-0.05850.01080.20-0.05-0.40
0.54-0.05900.01110.20-0.05-0.45
0.49-0.05950.01120.20-0.05-0.51
0.44-0.051000.01110.20-0.05-0.56
0.39-0.051050.01090.19-0.05-0.61
0.35-0.051100.01050.19-0.05-0.65
0.31-0.051150.01000.18-0.04-0.69
0.28-0.041200.00940.17-0.04-0.72

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 24 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot254055708510011K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot22.5508011014017013K13K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 51K call contracts, 11K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: ESTC workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk