Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 26, 8:22 PM ET

CSX max pain

Spot (delayed)$51.31
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$37.5-26.9% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$3.98±7.7% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI0.6911K puts / 17K calls
Call wall$52.5largest call OI
Put wall$32.5largest put OI
IV3022.4%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$1.3Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $22.5

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 30$48-6.5%4d
Fri, Nov 6$49.5-3.5%11d
Fri, Nov 13$50-2.6%18d
Fri, Nov 20$50-2.6%25d
Fri, Nov 27$48-6.5%32d
Fri, Dec 4$46-10.3%39d
Fri, Dec 18$37.5-26.9%53d
Fri, Jan 15$40-22.0%81d
Fri, Feb 19$50-2.6%116d
Fri, Mar 19$47.5-7.4%144d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot37.5152535455565$33M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 37.5 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot37.515253545555K5K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)CSX open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot37.51525354555305305
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot30374451586585%21%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 24.4% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spotflip 22.517.527.537.547.557.5+$1.0M−$1.0M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.99—350.00300.01-0.00-0.01
0.98-0.0037.50.00500.01-0.00-0.02
0.97-0.00400.00870.01-0.00-0.03
0.95-0.0042.50.01620.02-0.01-0.05
0.91-0.01450.03060.03-0.01-0.09
0.82-0.0147.50.05510.05-0.01-0.19
0.65-0.01500.08300.07-0.02-0.36
0.43-0.0252.50.09080.08-0.02-0.58
0.23-0.01550.07040.06-0.01-0.78
0.11-0.0157.50.04230.04-0.01-0.90
0.05-0.00600.02180.02-0.00-0.98
0.01-0.00650.00470.01-0.01-1.00

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 12 strikes around the money — all 20 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot30404648.551557010
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot153542.546.55157.517K17K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 100K call contracts, 87K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: CSX workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk