Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 26, 8:22 PM ET

CSX max pain

Spot (delayed)$51.31
Max pain · Fri, Dec 4$46-10.3% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$3.1±6.0% by Fri, Dec 4
Put/Call OI0.63196 puts / 311 calls
Call wall$53largest call OI
Put wall$46largest put OI
IV3022.4%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$55Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $53

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 30$48-6.5%4d
Fri, Nov 6$49.5-3.5%11d
Fri, Nov 13$50-2.6%18d
Fri, Nov 20$50-2.6%25d
Fri, Nov 27$48-6.5%32d
Fri, Dec 4$46-10.3%39d
Fri, Dec 18$37.5-26.9%53d
Fri, Jan 15$40-22.0%81d
Fri, Feb 19$50-2.6%116d
Fri, Mar 19$47.5-7.4%144d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot46444749525457$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 46 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 4

spot464446515557238238
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)CSX open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 4.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 4

spot46444651555711
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 4

spot44474952545760%18%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 22.8% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 4

spotflip 534446515557+$63K−$63K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 4

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.94-0.01440.02140.02-0.01-0.06
0.93-0.01450.02820.02-0.01-0.08
0.90-0.01460.03730.03-0.01-0.11
0.82-0.01480.06360.04-0.01-0.19
0.57-0.02510.10530.07-0.02-0.45
0.36-0.02530.10070.06-0.02-0.65
0.20-0.01550.07300.05-0.01-0.81
0.14-0.01560.05810.04-0.01-0.86
0.10-0.01570.04500.03-0.01-0.90

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot30404648.551557010
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot153542.546.55157.517K17K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 100K call contracts, 87K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: CSX workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk