Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 27, 3:48 AM ET

CIFR max pain

Spot (delayed)$7.8
Max pain · Fri, Nov 27$9.5+21.8% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$2.3±29.5% by Fri, Nov 27
Put/Call OI0.683K puts / 4K calls
Call wall$9.5largest call OI
Put wall$14largest put OI
IV30125.3%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$10Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $5

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 30$9+15.4%3d
Fri, Nov 6$10+28.2%10d
Fri, Nov 13$11+41.0%17d
Fri, Nov 20$11+41.0%24d
Fri, Nov 27$9.5+21.8%31d
Fri, Dec 4$8.5+9.0%38d
Fri, Dec 18$15+92.3%52d
Fri, Jan 15$11+41.0%80d
Fri, Mar 19$12+53.8%143d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot9.51510141923$5M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 9.5 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Nov 27

spot9.51911.51416.519959959
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)CIFR open contracts per strike for Fri, Nov 27.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Nov 27

spot9.51911.51416.519378378
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Nov 27

spot1510141923395%96%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 124.3% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Nov 27

spotflip 559.51214.51719.5+$6K−$6K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Nov 27

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
1.00—10.00100.00-0.00-0.00
0.90-0.0150.05680.00-0.01-0.11
0.80-0.0160.09330.01-0.01-0.20
0.68-0.0270.12570.01-0.02-0.33
0.54-0.0280.14130.01-0.02-0.47
0.41-0.0290.13830.01-0.02-0.59
0.36-0.029.50.13180.01-0.02-0.65
0.31-0.01100.12350.01-0.01-0.70
0.27-0.0110.50.11420.01-0.01-0.74
0.23-0.01110.10460.01-0.01-0.78
0.20-0.0111.50.09510.01-0.01-0.81
0.17-0.01120.08610.01-0.01-0.84

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 12 strikes around the money — all 30 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot17.511.515.519.523.512K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot18.51419.52637161K161K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 1.5M call contracts, 408K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: CIFR workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk