Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 27, 3:48 AM ET

CIFR max pain

Spot (delayed)$7.8
Max pain · Fri, Oct 30$9+15.4% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$0.96±12.2% by Fri, Oct 30
Put/Call OI0.3620K puts / 56K calls
Call wall$10largest call OI
Put wall$13largest put OI
IV30125.3%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$99Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $5

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 30$9+15.4%3d
Fri, Nov 6$10+28.2%10d
Fri, Nov 13$11+41.0%17d
Fri, Nov 20$11+41.0%24d
Fri, Nov 27$9.5+21.8%31d
Fri, Dec 4$8.5+9.0%38d
Fri, Dec 18$15+92.3%52d
Fri, Jan 15$11+41.0%80d
Fri, Mar 19$12+53.8%143d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot91713182430$93M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 9 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spot917.511.515.519.5256K6K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)CIFR open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 30.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spot917.511.515.519.52510K10K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spot3814192530551%122%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 141.2% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spotflip 548.51215.51923+$46K−$46K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 30

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
1.00—30.0008—0.000.00
1.00-0.0040.00400.00-0.00-0.00
0.99-0.0050.02010.00-0.00-0.01
0.94-0.0260.08960.00-0.02-0.06
0.88-0.036.50.16950.00-0.03-0.12
0.77-0.0470.27440.00-0.04-0.24
0.60-0.067.50.35380.00-0.06-0.40
0.42-0.0680.35580.00-0.06-0.58
0.28-0.058.50.29450.00-0.05-0.73
0.17-0.0490.21730.00-0.04-0.83
0.11-0.039.50.15190.00-0.03-0.89
0.07-0.02100.10420.00-0.02-0.93
0.05-0.0110.50.07150.00-0.01-0.96
0.03-0.01110.04960.00-0.01-0.97
0.02-0.0111.50.03480.00-0.01-0.98

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 43 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot17.511.515.519.523.512K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot18.51419.52637161K161K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 1.5M call contracts, 408K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: CIFR workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk