Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Nov 8, 6:50 PM ET

ARQQ max pain

Spot (delayed)$16.07
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EVIDENCE — filed/published fact
SourceCboe delayed quote, underlying price
Fieldcurrent_price
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 8, 6:50 PM ET
HowAbout 15 minutes delayed.
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Max pain · Fri, Jan 21$10
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INFERENCE — derived by arithmetic
SourceMax pain from Cboe open interest
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 8, 6:50 PM ET
HowThe settle strike with the smallest total payout to option holders for the 2028-01-21 expiration, over 22 strikes carrying 2,798 open contracts. Open interest is published once a day, before the open, so it describes the previous session.
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-37.8% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$12.75
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INFERENCE — derived by arithmetic
SourceAt-the-money straddle midpoint
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 8, 6:50 PM ET
HowCall midpoint plus put midpoint at the strike nearest spot for the 2028-01-21 expiration = 12.75 USD, 79.3% of 16.07 spot.
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±79.3% by Fri, Jan 21
Put/Call OI0.22
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INFERENCE — derived by arithmetic
SourcePut open interest divided by call open interest
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 8, 6:50 PM ET
How512 put contracts / 2,286 call contracts = 0.22 for the 2028-01-21 expiration. Open interest is published once a day, before the open, so it describes the previous session.
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512 puts / 2K calls
Call wall$45
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INFERENCE — derived by arithmetic
SourceStrike with the most call open interest
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 8, 6:50 PM ET
How45.00 for the 2028-01-21 expiration. Open interest is published once a day, before the open, so it describes the previous session.
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largest call OI
Put wall$5
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INFERENCE — derived by arithmetic
SourceStrike with the most put open interest
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 8, 6:50 PM ET
How5.00 for the 2028-01-21 expiration. Open interest is published once a day, before the open, so it describes the previous session.
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largest put OI
IV30108.9%
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EVIDENCE — filed/published fact
SourceCboe 30-day implied volatility for the underlying
Fieldiv30
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 8, 6:50 PM ET
HowAs Cboe publishes it; not computed by us.
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30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$8K
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INFERENCE — derived by arithmetic
SourceNet gamma exposure from Cboe greeks and open interest
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 8, 6:50 PM ET
HowOver every strike with open interest for the 2028-01-21 expiration: (call gamma × call OI minus put gamma × put OI) × 100 × spot² × 1%, summed. Calls count as positive and puts as negative, a convention about who holds the other side, not a measurement.
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per 1% move · flip ≈ $7.5

Event risk before this expiration: CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20one strike decides12d
Fri, Dec 18one strike decides40d
Fri, Jan 15$17.5+8.9%68d
Fri, Mar 19one strike decides131d
Thu, Jun 17one strike decides221d
Fri, Jan 21$10-37.8%439d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot1031936526985$11M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 10 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Jan 21

spot102.512.522.5406080348348
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)ARQQ open contracts per strike for Fri, Jan 21.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Jan 21

spot107.51085132132
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Jan 21

spot31936526985158%97%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 105.4% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Jan 21

spotflip 7.52.512.522.5406080+$2K−$2K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Jan 21

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.96-0.002.50.00410.01-0.00-0.03
0.92-0.0050.00830.02-0.00-0.06
0.86-0.017.50.01220.03-0.00-0.10
0.80-0.01100.01530.04-0.01-0.15
0.73-0.0112.50.01750.05-0.01-0.20
0.68-0.01150.01900.05-0.01-0.25
0.63-0.0117.50.01980.06-0.01-0.30
0.59-0.01200.02030.06-0.01-0.34
0.55-0.0122.50.02060.06-0.01-0.37
0.52-0.01250.02060.06-0.01-0.41
0.46-0.01300.02040.06-0.01-0.47
0.41-0.01350.01980.06-0.01-0.52
0.37-0.01400.01920.06-0.01-0.56

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 13 strikes around the money — all 22 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot2.515254565851K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot2.512.522.54060801K1K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 7K call contracts, 5K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Max pain, walls and gamma print only when an expiration holds at least 100 open contracts across 5 strikes, and max pain also needs to stay within 5% of spot when its single heaviest strike is removed. Below that the expiration reads as thin rather than printing a level one trade could move.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: ARQQ workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk