fair-value calculator // DCF · reverse DCF · GrahamFREE

What’s a stock actually worth?

Three classic estimates — a two-stage DCF, a reverse DCF, and the Graham number — computed from a company’s own SEC filings, with every assumption editable and every input shown. The opposite of a proprietary “fair value” you can’t check.

blx · BLADEX, INC.Full workspace →
FAIR-VALUE RANGE
no method had its inputs
CURRENT PRICE
$49.88
TWO-STAGE DCF
not filed
8% growth for 10y, 2.5% terminal, 9% discount
GRAHAM NUMBERBenjamin Graham's ceiling for a cautious buyer: the highest share price his 1949 rule allows, at 15 times earnings and 1.5 times book value combined. A yardstick, not a forecast.
not filed
√(22.5 × EPS × book value/share)
not solvable from these inputs
FCF growth the current price implies for 10y.
YOUR ASSUMPTIONS — TWEAK ANYTHING
ASSUMPTION RECEIPTS: YOUR STAGE-1 GROWTH OF 8.0% AGAINST BLX’S FILED RECORD
Free cash flow per share, realized
3 FILED YEARS
fiscal 2011 to 2014
yours is 10.9 points higher
5 FILED YEARS
Not computed. Only 4 consecutive annual reports state it for both years. No annual report for the fiscal year ending 2010-12-31 is on file.
10 FILED YEARS
Not computed. Only 4 consecutive annual reports state it for both years. No annual report for the fiscal year ending 2010-12-31 is on file.
Diluted EPS, realized
3 FILED YEARS
fiscal 2011 to 2014
yours is 0.9 points higher
5 FILED YEARS
Not computed. Only 4 consecutive annual reports state it for both years. No annual report for the fiscal year ending 2010-12-31 is on file.
10 FILED YEARS
Not computed. Only 4 consecutive annual reports state it for both years. No annual report for the fiscal year ending 2010-12-31 is on file.
The annual reports behind these rates
Free cash flow per shareThat yearYear before, same reportChangeReport
fiscal 20144.38 USD1.40 USD+212.4%20-F filed 2015-04-23
fiscal 20131.40 USD2.27 USD-38.3%20-F filed 2014-04-25
fiscal 20122274.00 USD4791.14 USD-52.5%20-F filed 2013-04-23
fiscal 20114.79 USD1.84 USD+160.2%20-F filed 2012-04-27

Concepts read: (us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities - us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment) / us-gaap:WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding

Diluted EPSThat yearYear before, same reportChangeReport
fiscal 20142.75 USD2.20 USD+25.0%20-F filed 2015-04-23
fiscal 20132.20 USD2.45 USD-10.2%20-F filed 2014-04-25
fiscal 20122.45 USD2.24 USD+9.4%20-F filed 2013-04-23
fiscal 20112.24 USD1.15 USD+94.8%20-F filed 2012-04-27

Concepts read: us-gaap:EarningsPerShareDiluted

Per filed share, as each report states it. Free cash flow per share is operating cash flow less capital expenditure, over the diluted weighted average share count (or net income over diluted EPS where the count is tagged per share class).

Each year’s change comes from one annual report, which states that year and the year before on the same share basis, and the rate compounds those changes; so a split or a restatement between reports cannot bend it. A rate needs a positive figure at both ends of its window. The DCF above grows total free cash flow and divides by today’s share count, so a per-share rate also carries the buybacks or new shares of those years. These are past figures, not a forecast.

Not shown yet: the P/E range BLX has traded at, which would set the discount rate and terminal assumptions against its own history. It needs a long daily price history we are not yet licensed to display.

Plain English for every number above. One AI generation, or free if someone already asked about these numbers.
THE INPUTS — FROM BLX’S FILINGS, FY ENDING 2014-12-31
Free cash flow $170.3MShares not filedDiluted EPS not filedBook value/share not filed

Per-share inputs withheld: the newest dollar figures it has tagged are for the period ending 2014-12-31.

Estimates, not targets. The DCF treats free cash flow as cash flow to equity and divides by shares (the common retail shortcut — it skips net debt and a full WACC), so it’s a sanity-check, not a valuation opinion. All inputs are from BLX’s SEC filings; change any assumption above and the numbers update live. Educational only — not investment advice.

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A DCF is only as good as its assumptions — that’s exactly why every one here is yours to change. We treat free cash flow as cash flow to equity and divide by shares (the common retail shortcut; it skips net debt and a full WACC), so treat the output as a sanity-check range, not a valuation opinion. Inputs from SEC filings. Educational only — not investment advice.