Dilution profile // every instrument, one screen, from SEC filings

ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC. (ALK)

CIK 766421 · all EDGAR filings →

Overall dilution risk
HIGHworst of 4 computed sub-ratings (offering ability)
= the worst band among the computed sub-ratings, no hidden weighting
Offering ability
HIGHS-3ASR on file 2023-08-04
= is there a registration (S-1/S-3 family) on file without a later withdrawal
no structured fee data on the live registrations, so this is a yes/no, not a size
Overhead supply
LOWwarrants = 2% of O/S
= warrant shares outstanding divided by current shares outstanding (bands: 20% / 50%)
warrants only; converts, ATMs and equity lines are not in free structured data, so the true overhead is AT LEAST this
Historical dilution
LOW-12% O/S in 3y
= share count now vs 3 years ago (bands: 30% / 100%); a reverse split pushes this negative
a reverse-split-sized cliff is in this window; read the chart
Cash need
LOWoperating cash flow positive
= cash vs trailing operating burn (bands: 6mo / 24mo; positive operating CF = low)

Same rating bands the category standard uses, but free, with the formula on the chip and the gaps in the data said out loud.

Shares outstanding over time

2021-01-312026-10-31

Latest: 112.8M shares as of Oct 31, 2026 (10-Q).

⊙
EVIDENCE — filed/published fact
SourceSEC XBRL, cover-page share count
Fielddei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding
As of2026-10-31
HowThe newest cover-page count as filed. It is used as the current count only while it is no more than about 15 months older than the company’s newest periodic filing; the float checker applies a 200-day rule and sets it beside the balance-sheet count.
Open the source document →
Share count fell from 36.01B to 35.5M between Jul 31, 2011 and Oct 31, 2011, a pattern consistent with a reverse split (roughly 1-for-1014); simultaneous issuance can skew the raw ratio, so confirm in the filings. The red bar marks the cliff.

Cash runway

Self-funding

profitable · generates cash

Full breakdown: cash runway tool · source filing →

Warrants

TrancheWarrantsExercise priceTermNotes
US Treasury CARES Act Loan1.9Mnot tagged——

Tranches exactly as the company dimensioned them in its 10-Q filed Nov 6, 2026 →. Groupings can overlap (a “Series E and F” row is not additive with a “Series E” row), so do not sum this column. A tranche the filer did not tag is absent here, not absent from the cap table. DOWN-ROUND = the filer tagged price-protection accounting scoped to that tranche.

Warrants outstanding: 1.9M underlying shares, as reported Dec 31, 2024 (10-K).

Reported exercise price: $39.06 (aggregate figure as tagged; individual tranches vary).

Rough fully diluted estimate: 114.7M = 112.8M O/S + 1.9M warrant shares. An estimate, not a filing figure: it ignores converts, options and RSUs, and the two inputs carry different as-of dates.

Convertible notes

No convertible-note facts tagged in the 10-Q filed Nov 6, 2026. If convertible notes exist, their terms live in exhibit prose for this filer and are not parsed; absence of a tag is not proof of absence. The exhibits are the ground truth.

Fully diluted build-up

Shares outstanding plus every potential-share instrument the filer tagged in XBRL, each at its own as-of date. An estimate assembled from filed figures, not a filing figure itself.

Shares outstanding112.8MOct 31, 2026
+ US Treasury CARES Act Loan (if exercised)1.9MDec 31, 2020
Fully diluted estimate114.7M+1.7% vs O/S

Still excluded, because the filer does not tag them in countable form: employee options and RSUs, any instrument living only in exhibit prose, and instruments above missing a share count. Inputs carry different as-of dates, shown per row. Each figure traces to the tranche and note tables above and their cited filings.

Registrations and offerings

Last 12 months: 0 executed · 0 registered.

REGISTEREDAug 4, 2023Automatic shelf registration — effective immediately (large filers)S-3ASR →
UPDATEAug 4, 2023Resale prospectus — existing holders registering to sell424B7 →
UPDATEAug 4, 2023Resale prospectus — existing holders registering to sell424B7 →
UPDATEAug 4, 2023Resale prospectus — existing holders registering to sell424B7 →
UPDATEAug 4, 2023Resale prospectus — existing holders registering to sell424B7 →
UPDATEJun 30, 2021Resale prospectus — existing holders registering to sell424B7 →
UPDATEJun 30, 2021Resale prospectus — existing holders registering to sell424B7 →
UPDATEJun 30, 2021Resale prospectus — existing holders registering to sell424B7 →
UPDATEMar 31, 2021Resale prospectus — existing holders registering to sell424B7 →
UPDATEMar 31, 2021Resale prospectus — existing holders registering to sell424B7 →
EXECUTEDOct 1, 2020Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K →
REGISTEREDSep 25, 2020Automatic shelf registration — effective immediately (large filers)S-3ASR →

Full history and shelf status: offering checker · S-3 shelf checker

Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts and filing metadata, fetched live and cached briefly. Share counts are cover-page figures with their form named. Warrant tranches and convertible notes come from the dimensioned facts in the latest 10-Q/10-K instance document, exactly as the company tagged them; untagged tranches and notes are absent, not disproven. Nothing on this page is manually verified and nothing is behind a login: what free data supports is shown, what it cannot support is stated. Not investment advice.

Keep going: float checker · offering calendar · short-squeeze screener · full ALK workspace

Free to use. No account, no card.