Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 23, 1:27 AM ET

TXN max pain

Spot (delayed)$277
Max pain · Fri, Nov 6$285+2.9% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$21.93±7.9% by Fri, Nov 6
Put/Call OI0.88804 puts / 917 calls
Call wall$315largest call OI
Put wall$215largest put OI
IV3043.3%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$150Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $175

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 23$280+1.1%today
Fri, Oct 30$277.5+0.2%7d
Fri, Nov 6$285+2.9%14d
Fri, Nov 13$285+2.9%21d
Fri, Nov 20$280+1.1%28d
Fri, Nov 27$280+1.1%35d
Fri, Dec 18$260-6.1%56d
Fri, Jan 15$260-6.1%84d
Fri, Feb 19$265-4.3%119d
Fri, Mar 19$270-2.5%147d
Fri, Apr 16$280+1.1%175d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot285165209253297341385$7M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 285 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Nov 6

spot285165215260290325370144144
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)TXN open contracts per strike for Fri, Nov 6.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Nov 6

spot285165215260290325370194194
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Nov 6

spot165209253297341385151%43%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 48.5% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Nov 6

spotflip 175165215260290325370+$101K−$101K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Nov 6

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.92-0.142450.00580.08-0.16-0.10
0.89-0.192500.00760.10-0.20-0.13
0.84-0.242550.00960.13-0.24-0.18
0.79-0.292600.01140.16-0.28-0.23
0.72-0.332650.01300.18-0.32-0.29
0.65-0.362700.01410.21-0.35-0.36
0.62-0.37272.50.01450.21-0.36-0.40
0.58-0.372750.01480.22-0.36-0.43
0.50-0.382800.01500.23-0.37-0.50
0.47-0.37282.50.01490.22-0.36-0.54
0.43-0.362850.01470.22-0.36-0.58
0.40-0.35287.50.01440.22-0.35-0.61
0.36-0.342900.01400.21-0.33-0.65
0.29-0.312950.01300.20-0.30-0.71
0.26-0.29297.50.01230.18-0.28-0.74

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 49 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot160230262.5287.5312.53454K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot100175240287.533041011K11K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 127K call contracts, 108K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: TXN workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk