Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 16, 8:26 PM ET

TRMB max pain

Spot (delayed)$59.46
Max pain · Fri, May 21$40-32.7% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$14.55±24.5% by Fri, May 21
Put/Call OI0.2312 puts / 53 calls
Call wall$40largest call OI
Put wall$45largest put OI
IV3039.1%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$2Kper 1% move

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$55-7.5%today
Fri, Nov 20$60+0.9%35d
Fri, Jan 15$55-7.5%91d
Fri, Feb 19$60+0.9%126d
Fri, May 21$40-32.7%217d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot40303948576675$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 40 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, May 21

spot4030455565752626
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)TRMB open contracts per strike for Fri, May 21.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, May 21

spot403045556575232232
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, May 21

spot40475461687545%31%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 39.1% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, May 21

spot3045556575+$2K−$2K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, May 21

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.99-0.00300.00250.03-0.00-0.03
0.93-0.01400.00710.07-0.01-0.09
0.88-0.01450.01080.10-0.01-0.14
0.81-0.01500.01500.13-0.01-0.21
0.72-0.01550.01890.16-0.01-0.31
0.61-0.01600.02190.18-0.02-0.42
0.50-0.02650.02310.19-0.02-0.55
0.40-0.01700.02250.18-0.02-0.67
0.31-0.01750.02050.16-0.02-0.77

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot30456075901052K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot254565851052K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 9K call contracts, 4K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: TRMB workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk