Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 16, 8:26 PM ET

TRMB max pain

Spot (delayed)$59.46
Max pain · Fri, Feb 19$60+0.9% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$10.9±18.3% by Fri, Feb 19
Put/Call OI0.92195 puts / 213 calls
Call wall$60largest call OI
Put wall$50largest put OI
IV3039.1%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$2Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $30

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$55-7.5%today
Fri, Nov 20$60+0.9%35d
Fri, Jan 15$55-7.5%91d
Fri, Feb 19$60+0.9%126d
Fri, May 21$40-32.7%217d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot60253749617385$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 60 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Feb 19

spot6025405570857272
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)TRMB open contracts per strike for Fri, Feb 19.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Feb 19

spot60254055708577
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Feb 19

spot25374961738586%37%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 38.7% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Feb 19

spotflip 302540557085+$5K−$5K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Feb 19

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
1.00-0.00250.00090.01-0.00-0.01
0.99-0.00300.00190.01-0.00-0.02
0.97-0.01350.00370.03-0.01-0.03
0.95-0.01400.00680.04-0.01-0.06
0.90-0.01450.01150.07-0.01-0.11
0.82-0.02500.01780.09-0.02-0.19
0.71-0.02550.02450.12-0.02-0.30
0.57-0.02600.02900.14-0.02-0.45
0.43-0.02650.02940.14-0.02-0.60
0.31-0.02700.02620.12-0.02-0.74
0.22-0.02750.02140.10-0.02-0.84
0.15-0.01800.01660.08-0.02-0.92
0.11-0.01850.01260.07-0.01-0.97

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot30456075901052K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot254565851052K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 9K call contracts, 4K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: TRMB workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk