Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 16, 8:26 PM ET

TRMB max pain

Spot (delayed)$59.46
Max pain · Fri, Jan 15$55-7.5% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$8.85±14.9% by Fri, Jan 15
Put/Call OI0.19726 puts / 4K calls
Call wall$75largest call OI
Put wall$55largest put OI
IV3039.1%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$228Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $45

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$55-7.5%today
Fri, Nov 20$60+0.9%35d
Fri, Jan 15$55-7.5%91d
Fri, Feb 19$60+0.9%126d
Fri, May 21$40-32.7%217d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot553044587286100$11M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 55 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot5530456075902K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)TRMB open contracts per strike for Fri, Jan 15.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot5530456075901414
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot304458728610086%28%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 37.0% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spotflip 453045607590+$174K−$174K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Jan 15

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.99-0.00300.00150.01-0.00-0.01
0.98-0.01350.00300.02-0.01-0.02
0.96-0.01400.00590.03-0.01-0.04
0.92-0.01450.01110.04-0.01-0.08
0.85-0.02500.01940.07-0.02-0.16
0.72-0.02550.02980.10-0.02-0.28
0.55-0.02600.03630.12-0.03-0.46
0.38-0.02650.03450.11-0.03-0.64
0.26-0.02700.02780.10-0.02-0.78
0.17-0.02750.02090.08-0.02-0.87
0.12-0.01800.01550.06-0.02-0.93
0.09-0.01850.01150.05-0.01-0.97
0.07-0.01900.00870.04-0.01-0.99
0.05-0.01950.00670.03-0.00-0.99

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 14 strikes around the money — all 15 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot30456075901052K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot254565851052K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 9K call contracts, 4K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: TRMB workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk