Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 25, 2:53 AM ET

THRM max pain

Spot (delayed)$28.6
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$37.93+32.6% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$6.57±23.0% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI0.161K puts / 6K calls
Call wall$37.93largest call OI
Put wall$37.93largest put OI
IV3056.2%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$156Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $22.93

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$32.93+15.1%27d
Fri, Dec 18$37.93+32.6%55d
Fri, Mar 19$32.93+15.1%146d
Fri, May 21$20-30.1%209d
Thu, Jun 17$22.5-21.3%236d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot37.93132027344148$7M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 37.93 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot37.9312.9322.9327.9332.934047.934K4K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)THRM open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot37.9312.9322.9327.9332.934047.93445445
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot132027344148155%53%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 74.2% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spotflip 22.9312.9322.9327.9332.934047.93+$80K−$80K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.97-0.0112.930.00520.01-0.01-0.04
0.93-0.0117.930.01320.02-0.01-0.08
0.83-0.0222.930.03140.03-0.02-0.18
0.76-0.02250.04330.04-0.02-0.25
0.60-0.0227.930.06010.04-0.02-0.41
0.47-0.02300.06410.04-0.02-0.54
0.32-0.0232.930.05550.04-0.02-0.70
0.17-0.0237.930.03510.03-0.02-0.84
0.14-0.01400.02910.03-0.02-0.88
0.11-0.0142.930.02280.02-0.01-0.91
0.08-0.0147.930.01590.02-0.01-0.95

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot12.932530354047.934K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot12.9317.9322.9332.9342.9357.934K4K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 7K call contracts, 1K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: THRM workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk