Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 25, 11:37 PM ET

STLD max pain

Spot (delayed)$241.53
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$240-0.6% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$28.4±11.8% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI0.722K puts / 3K calls
Call wall$290largest call OI
Put wall$230largest put OI
IV3038.2%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$167Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $290

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$240-0.6%26d
Fri, Dec 18$240-0.6%54d
Fri, Jan 15$210-13.1%82d
Fri, Feb 19$200-17.2%117d
Fri, Mar 19$250+3.5%145d
Fri, May 21$240-0.6%208d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot24080150220290360430$40M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 240 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot240801251702203003801K1K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)STLD open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot240801251702203003804545
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot85154223292361430148%34%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 37.4% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spotflip 290120160200270340420+$434K−$434K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.95-0.041850.00240.10-0.04-0.05
0.94-0.041900.00300.12-0.04-0.06
0.92-0.051950.00360.14-0.05-0.08
0.90-0.062000.00440.17-0.06-0.10
0.85-0.082100.00620.23-0.08-0.16
0.77-0.102200.00820.29-0.10-0.23
0.68-0.122300.01000.34-0.12-0.33
0.57-0.122400.01110.37-0.13-0.44
0.46-0.122500.01140.38-0.13-0.55
0.35-0.122600.01070.35-0.12-0.66
0.26-0.102700.00940.31-0.11-0.76
0.19-0.082800.00770.26-0.09-0.84
0.13-0.072900.00600.20-0.08-0.90
0.09-0.053000.00460.16-0.06-0.95
0.06-0.043100.00340.12-0.04-0.98

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 45 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot701201652203104001K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot601051501952803703K3K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 18K call contracts, 11K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: STLD workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk