Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 25, 3:09 AM ET

QCML max pain

Spot (delayed)$16.35
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$18+10.1% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$5.8±35.5% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI0.13258 puts / 2K calls
Call wall$40largest call OI
Put wall$21largest put OI
IV30111.7%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$15Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $5

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$18+10.1%26d
Fri, Dec 18$18+10.1%54d
Fri, Mar 19$11-32.7%145d
Thu, Jun 17$8-51.1%235d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot1831426374960$6M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 18 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot1831118253240331331
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)QCML open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot183111825324011
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot41526384960441%104%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 116.7% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spotflip 531118253240+$3K−$3K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.92-0.0290.02250.01-0.01-0.09
0.89-0.02100.02800.01-0.01-0.12
0.85-0.02110.03370.01-0.02-0.15
0.81-0.02120.03980.02-0.02-0.19
0.75-0.02130.04550.02-0.02-0.24
0.70-0.02140.05020.02-0.02-0.29
0.64-0.02150.05370.02-0.02-0.35
0.58-0.03160.05580.02-0.02-0.40
0.52-0.03170.05660.03-0.02-0.46
0.47-0.03180.05630.03-0.02-0.51
0.42-0.03190.05500.03-0.02-0.55
0.38-0.02200.05310.02-0.02-0.59
0.34-0.02210.05070.02-0.02-0.63
0.30-0.02220.04800.02-0.02-0.67
0.27-0.02230.04520.02-0.02-0.70

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 42 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot113202734464150
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot11019283746422422
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 3K call contracts, 598 put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: QCML workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk