Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 24, 7:36 PM ET

PGR max pain

Spot (delayed)$228.07
Max pain · Fri, Jan 15$220-3.5% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$26.1±11.4% by Fri, Jan 15
Put/Call OI1.2612K puts / 9K calls
Call wall$230largest call OI
Put wall$190largest put OI
IV3026.0%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$422Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $250

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 30$217.5-4.6%6d
Fri, Nov 6$220-3.5%13d
Fri, Nov 13$220-3.5%20d
Fri, Nov 20$210-7.9%27d
Fri, Nov 27$215-5.7%34d
Fri, Dec 4$230+0.8%41d
Fri, Dec 18$220-3.5%55d
Fri, Jan 15$220-3.5%83d
Fri, Feb 19$230+0.8%118d
Fri, Mar 19$210-7.9%146d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot220100166232298364430$167M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 220 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot2201001401752202903603K3K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)PGR open contracts per strike for Fri, Jan 15.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot220100140175220290360159159
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot10016623229836443084%18%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 22.3% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spotflip 250100140175220290360+$1.3M−$1.3M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Jan 15

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.98-0.011800.00200.07-0.04-0.10
0.97-0.021850.00270.07-0.04-0.12
0.96-0.021900.00360.10-0.04-0.15
0.94-0.021950.00470.14-0.05-0.19
0.92-0.032000.00620.16-0.05-0.23
0.84-0.042100.01030.23-0.06-0.35
0.72-0.052200.01520.32-0.06-0.51
0.55-0.062300.01830.39-0.05-0.67
0.38-0.062400.01730.37-0.04-0.80
0.24-0.052500.01370.31-0.03-0.88
0.15-0.042600.00980.23-0.02-0.93
0.10-0.032700.00670.18-0.02-0.95
0.06-0.022800.00460.13-0.01-0.97
0.04-0.022900.00320.09-0.01-0.98
0.03-0.013000.00220.07-0.01-0.99

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 42 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot150202.52152252352508400
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot100160202.5232.52803605K5K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 29K call contracts, 27K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: PGR workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk