Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 21, 10:30 PM ET

PAYC max pain

Spot (delayed)$261.78
Max pain · Fri, Dec 17$200-23.6% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$99.5±38.0% by Fri, Dec 17
Put/Call OI1.152K puts / 1K calls
Call wall$270largest call OI
Put wall$260largest put OI
IV3054.4%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$33Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $80

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$210-19.8%30d
Fri, Dec 18$195-25.5%58d
Fri, Jan 15$175-33.1%86d
Fri, Feb 19$240-8.3%121d
Fri, May 21$240-8.3%212d
Fri, Dec 17$200-23.6%422d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot20060118176234292350$20M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 200 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 17

spot20060100135170210280310310
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)PAYC open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 17.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 17

spot2006010013517021028044
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 17

spot6011817623429235080%43%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 45.5% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 17

spotflip 8070105140175220290+$63K−$63K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 17

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.82-0.031950.00200.72-0.04-0.18
0.81-0.032000.00210.76-0.04-0.19
0.79-0.042100.00220.82-0.04-0.22
0.76-0.042200.00240.87-0.05-0.25
0.73-0.042300.00260.93-0.05-0.28
0.70-0.042400.00270.97-0.05-0.31
0.67-0.052500.00281.01-0.05-0.35
0.64-0.052600.00301.04-0.06-0.38
0.61-0.052700.00301.07-0.06-0.41
0.58-0.052800.00311.09-0.06-0.44
0.55-0.052900.00321.10-0.06-0.48
0.52-0.053000.00321.11-0.06-0.51
0.50-0.053100.00321.11-0.06-0.54
0.47-0.053200.00321.11-0.06-0.57
0.44-0.053300.00321.10-0.06-0.60

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 42 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot651051451852503304340
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot60100140180240320828828
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 8K call contracts, 10K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: PAYC workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk