Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 21, 10:30 PM ET

PAYC max pain

Spot (delayed)$261.78
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$195-25.5% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$39±14.9% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI1.082K puts / 2K calls
Call wall$200largest call OI
Put wall$100largest put OI
IV3054.4%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$185Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $220

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$210-19.8%30d
Fri, Dec 18$195-25.5%58d
Fri, Jan 15$175-33.1%86d
Fri, Feb 19$240-8.3%121d
Fri, May 21$240-8.3%212d
Fri, Dec 17$200-23.6%422d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot19560126192258324390$26M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 195 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot19560100140180240320206206
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)PAYC open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot1956010014018024032022
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot65130195260325390187%45%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 47.1% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spotflip 22060100140180240320+$60K−$60K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.94-0.041950.00220.12-0.05-0.06
0.93-0.052000.00260.14-0.06-0.07
0.89-0.072100.00360.19-0.08-0.11
0.84-0.102200.00480.25-0.10-0.16
0.78-0.122300.00590.31-0.13-0.22
0.71-0.142400.00680.35-0.15-0.29
0.64-0.162500.00750.39-0.16-0.37
0.56-0.172600.00800.41-0.17-0.45
0.48-0.172700.00810.41-0.17-0.53
0.40-0.162800.00790.40-0.16-0.60
0.33-0.152900.00740.38-0.15-0.68
0.27-0.143000.00670.34-0.13-0.74
0.21-0.123100.00590.30-0.12-0.80
0.17-0.103200.00510.26-0.10-0.84
0.14-0.093300.00440.23-0.09-0.88

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 48 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot651051451852503304340
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot60100140180240320828828
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 8K call contracts, 10K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: PAYC workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk