Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 26, 8:24 PM ET

ORLY max pain

Spot (delayed)$91.05
Max pain · Fri, Feb 19$90-1.2% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$11.7±12.9% by Fri, Feb 19
Put/Call OI0.25235 puts / 944 calls
Call wall$95largest call OI
Put wall$75largest put OI
IV3030.8%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$130Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $95

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$87.5-3.9%25d
Fri, Dec 18$90-1.2%53d
Fri, Jan 15$90-1.2%81d
Fri, Feb 19$90-1.2%116d
Fri, Mar 19$90-1.2%144d
Fri, May 21$85-6.6%207d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot90557187103119135$3M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 90 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Feb 19

spot9055708595110125277277
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)ORLY open contracts per strike for Fri, Feb 19.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Feb 19

spot90557085951101253131
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Feb 19

spot55718710311913567%28%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 28.5% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Feb 19

spotflip 9555708595110125+$59K−$59K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Feb 19

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.98—550.00180.02-0.00-0.02
0.97-0.00600.00290.03-0.01-0.03
0.95-0.00650.00470.05-0.01-0.04
0.92-0.01700.00750.07-0.01-0.07
0.88-0.01750.01150.10-0.01-0.12
0.81-0.02800.01680.14-0.02-0.19
0.71-0.02850.02250.17-0.02-0.29
0.59-0.02900.02690.20-0.02-0.42
0.52-0.0292.50.02780.20-0.03-0.49
0.45-0.02950.02780.20-0.02-0.56
0.33-0.021000.02530.18-0.02-0.69
0.23-0.021050.02080.16-0.02-0.80
0.16-0.011100.01610.13-0.01-0.88
0.11-0.011150.01220.10-0.01-0.94
0.08-0.011200.00910.08-0.01-0.98

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 18 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot4570901051301556K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot456582.5951151407K7K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 35K call contracts, 14K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: ORLY workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk