Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 19, 1:46 PM ET

ORBX max pain

Spot (delayed)$39
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$35-10.3% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$6.37±16.3% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI0.0214 puts / 649 calls
Call wall$76largest call OI
Put wall$53largest put OI
IV3050.8%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$8Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $30

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$40+2.6%26d
Fri, Dec 18$35-10.3%54d
Fri, Mar 19$50+28.2%145d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot352543617997115$3M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 35 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot352550607176115215215
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)ORBX open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot35255060717611511
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot2543617997115144%45%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 48.0% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spotflip 302550607176115+$2K−$2K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.93-0.01250.01210.02-0.01-0.07
0.84-0.02300.02620.04-0.02-0.16
0.66-0.02350.04690.06-0.02-0.34
0.41-0.02400.05120.06-0.03-0.60
0.24-0.02450.03730.05-0.02-0.78
0.15-0.02500.02510.04-0.02-0.87
0.12-0.01530.02000.03-0.01-0.91
0.10-0.01550.01740.03-0.01-0.92
0.09-0.01560.01630.03-0.01-0.93
0.08-0.01580.01420.02-0.01-0.94
0.07-0.01600.01260.02-0.01-0.95

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 11 strikes around the money — all 26 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot30505666741052150
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot203951637587215215
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 687 call contracts, 29 put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: ORBX workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk