Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Nov 3, 1:23 AM ET

NMG max pain

Spot (delayed)$0.91
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EVIDENCE — filed/published fact
SourceCboe delayed quote, underlying price
Fieldcurrent_price
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 3, 1:23 AM ET
HowAbout 15 minutes delayed.
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Max pain · Fri, Feb 19Not showntoo thin to read
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$1.68
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INFERENCE — derived by arithmetic
SourceAt-the-money straddle midpoint
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 3, 1:23 AM ET
HowCall midpoint plus put midpoint at the strike nearest spot for the 2027-02-19 expiration = 1.68 USD, 183.9% of 0.91 spot.
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±183.9% by Fri, Feb 19
Put/Call OI0.06
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INFERENCE — derived by arithmetic
SourcePut open interest divided by call open interest
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 3, 1:23 AM ET
How17 put contracts / 292 call contracts = 0.06 for the 2027-02-19 expiration. Open interest is published once a day, before the open, so it describes the previous session.
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17 puts / 292 calls
IV3048.1%
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EVIDENCE — filed/published fact
SourceCboe 30-day implied volatility for the underlying
Fieldiv30
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 3, 1:23 AM ET
HowAs Cboe publishes it; not computed by us.
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30-day implied vol

Too thin to read: 309 open contracts across 3 strikes. Max pain, walls and gamma print from 100 contracts across 5 strikes.

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20too thin17d
Fri, Feb 19too thin108d
Fri, May 21too thin199d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

Too thin to read: 309 open contracts across 3 strikes. Max pain, walls and gamma print from 100 contracts across 5 strikes.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Feb 19

spot2.557.5209209
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)NMG open contracts per strike for Fri, Feb 19.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Feb 19

Greeks by strike · Fri, Feb 19

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.25-0.002.50.39600.00-0.00-0.77
0.17-0.0050.24890.00-0.00-0.87
0.14-0.007.50.19770.00-0.00-0.91

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot2.557.52K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot2.557.52K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 3K call contracts, 606 put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Max pain, walls and gamma print only when an expiration holds at least 100 open contracts across 5 strikes, and max pain also needs to stay within 5% of spot when its single heaviest strike is removed. Below that the expiration reads as thin rather than printing a level one trade could move.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

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